ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.8%
1.40
BTTS Yes
75%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.48
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Club Atlético Güemes Win 44.4%
Draw 9.2%
Gimnasia Jujuy Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Atlético Güemes1.08
Gimnasia Jujuy1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WWDLW
17 GF / 27 GA
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
WLDWL
31 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
11
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 17 matches
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 19 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Statistic Gimnasia Jujuy
5 Wins 10
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 4
17 Goals For 31
27 Goals Against 23
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
11 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Gimnasia Jujuy's more proactive style and Club Atlético Güemes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Gimnasia Jujuy carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 27 points while Club Atlético Güemes sit 16 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Gimnasia Jujuy. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Jujuy having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 16, Club Atlético Güemes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 16:23 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Sanchez (5 goals), S. G. Sala (3 goals), A. R. Aguero Gimenez (1 goals), with creative support from D. Veliz (3 assists), S. G. Sala (2 assists), G. Baier (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 27 points from 15 matches. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 21:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Menendez (4 goals), O. Bianchi (3 goals), A. Arganaraz (2 goals), with creative support from D. Gallardo (3 assists), F. Molina (3 assists), M. Cachi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Club Atlético Güemes won 2 times, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Club Atlético Güemes's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
H2H summary: Club Atlético Güemes wins 2, draws 2, Gimnasia Jujuy wins 1
Last matches: Club Atlético Güemes
14.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Temperley
1
4
L
07.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Almagro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Colegiales
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Quilmes
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Midland
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atlanta
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico Mitre
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Agropecuario
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Nueva Chicago
0
1
L
Last matches: Gimnasia Jujuy
17.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Nueva Chicago
4
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Atlanta
0
3
L
30.05.26
Cop
Gimnasia Jujuy
Belgrano Cordoba
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Temperley
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Deportivo Maipu
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Almagro
6
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Agropecuario
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Patronato
2
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Tristan Suarez
0
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Colegiales
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Quilmes
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Chacarita Juniors
1
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Midland
2
1
W
12.02.26
Cop
Gimnasia Jujuy
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
2
D
H2H: Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
01.09.24
H2H
Gimnasia Jujuy
Club Atlético Güemes
1
0
L
14.04.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Gimnasia Jujuy
Club Atlético Güemes
0
2
W
07.08.21
H2H
Gimnasia Jujuy
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
28.03.21
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
0
W
Last matches: Club Atlético Güemes
07.06.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Quilmes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atlanta
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico Mitre
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Agropecuario
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Nueva Chicago
0
1
L
H2H at home: Club Atlético Güemes
14.04.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
28.03.21
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
0
W
Last matches: Gimnasia Jujuy
06.06.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Atlanta
0
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Agropecuario
2
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Tristan Suarez
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Gimnasia Jujuy
Chacarita Juniors
1
3
L
12.02.26
Cop
Gimnasia Jujuy
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
2
D
H2H away: Gimnasia Jujuy
14.04.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
28.03.21
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.53
Draw 2.78
Home 3.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.00
Home 3.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.85
Over 2.25 2.16
Over 2.5 2.48
Over 2.75 2.76
Over 3.5 4.68
Under 0.5 6.12
Under 1.5 2.65
Under 1.75 2.31
Under 2.0 1.98
Under 2.25 1.68
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 2.75 1.43
Under 3.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.75
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 1.95
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.20
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.44
Draw 2.67
Home 3.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 1.77
Home 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.16
Home 3.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.55
Over 2.0 1.75
Over 2.25 2.03
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 2.75 2.70
Over 3.0 3.50
Over 3.25 3.84
Over 3.5 4.20
Over 3.75 5.29
Over 4.0 7.50
Over 4.25 7.39
Over 4.5 8.10
Over 5.5 16.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 5.60
Under 0.75 5.10
Under 1.0 4.65
Under 1.25 3.15
Under 1.5 2.55
Under 1.75 2.17
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.63
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.22
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 3.75 1.09
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 10 3 5 23:13 10 33
L W W D W
2 17 10 3 4 27:19 8 33
W W L D W
3 17 7 8 2 16:10 6 29
W D D D W
4 18 6 9 3 18:17 1 27
D W W W D
5 17 7 5 5 14:12 2 26
D W L W L
6 17 7 4 6 18:13 5 25
L L W L W
7 17 6 5 6 18:18 0 23
W L L W
8 18 6 5 7 17:17 0 23
W W L D D
9 18 5 8 5 15:15 0 23
D L D L L
10 18 6 4 8 15:19 -4 22
W W D W L
11 17 6 3 8 22:20 2 21
L L W L W
12 18 5 6 7 16:14 2 21
L W D W D
13 16 5 6 5 15:16 -1 21
L W D L
14 17 5 5 7 16:19 -3 20
L W D D W
15 17 4 8 5 11:14 -3 20
D D D L W
16 17 5 4 8 17:27 -10 19
L W L W L
17 17 5 3 9 14:20 -6 18
L L L W L
18 18 4 6 8 14:22 -8 18
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation