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MEXICO › LIGA MX
26.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Banorte

Club America vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Club America Win 55.5%
Draw 13.2%
CF Pachuca Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club America1.45
CF Pachuca1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club America Club America
WWDLW
34 GF / 21 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
22 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
8
6.53
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club America Club America 22 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 13 matches
Club America Statistic CF Pachuca
10 Wins 4
8 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
34 Goals For 22
21 Goals Against 17
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
6.53 Shots On Goal 4.5
16.94 Total Shots 15.92
6.06 Corners 5.33
56.2% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Club America arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 21 points compared to CF Pachuca in 12 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CF Pachuca. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Club America Analysis

Club America arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 21 points after 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 22:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Martín (5 goals), B. Rodríguez (4 goals), M. Borja (4 goals), with creative support from H. Martín (3 assists), B. Rodríguez (2 assists), Raphael Veiga (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

CF Pachuca Analysis

From their first 11 matches, CF Pachuca have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 18:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Rondón (11 goals), O. Idrissi (1 goals), E. Montiel (1 goals), with creative support from O. Idrissi (3 assists), R. Pizarro (3 assists), C. Sánchez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club America won 5 times, CF Pachuca won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Club America's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Club America 4-2-3-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club America wins 5, draws 5, CF Pachuca wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 3 1 27:14 13 24
W D W D L
2 12 6 3 3 26:16 10 21
D L D L W
3 12 6 3 3 19:18 1 21
W D W D L
4 12 5 5 2 19:12 7 20
D D L D W
5 12 6 2 4 27:21 6 20
W D D L W
6 11 6 2 3 15:13 2 20
L W W D W
8 11 5 2 4 19:16 3 17
W D L W D
9 12 5 1 6 17:16 1 16
W W W W W
10 11 4 4 3 15:14 1 16
D D L D L
11 12 4 4 4 19:20 -1 16
W D L D L
12 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D D L D L
13 12 3 5 4 14:16 -2 14
D W W L D
14 12 3 4 5 19:16 3 13
L D L D W
15 12 3 4 5 16:21 -5 13
D L W W L
16 12 2 5 5 13:19 -6 11
L L W D L
17 12 2 3 7 15:25 -10 9
L D L L L
18 12 1 1 10 8:31 -23 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)