CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
23.08.2026 12:00
Longxing Football Stadium
Referee: W. Li
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match Timeline
Dalian Zhixing
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
G. Cimpanu ↔ Wu Yongqiang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
46'
L. Dimata ↔ Du Yuezheng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
61'
Luo Jing ↔ Huang Shan
Dalian Zhixing
63'
Lu Zhuoyi · Assist: I. Alimi
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
66'
I. Amadou ↔ Zhang Zhixiong
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
66'
Yue Ruijie ↔ Ng Yu-Hei
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
73'
Liao Jintao ↔ Lu Peng
Dalian Zhixing
🔄
79'
Xiang Yuwang ↔ Liang Weipeng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
86'
Yang Mingrui ↔ Feng Boxuan
Dalian Zhixing

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 49%
Draw 24.7%
Dalian Zhixing Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.34
Dalian Zhixing1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WWDLW
25 GF / 27 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
35 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
12
BTTS Yes
16
8
Over 2.5
15
3.22
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 23 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 25 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Statistic Dalian Zhixing
7 Wins 10
9 Draws 3
7 Losses 12
25 Goals For 35
27 Goals Against 43
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
12 BTTS Yes 16
14 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 3
3.22 Shots On Goal 4.78
9.09 Total Shots 13.57
4 Corners 5.83
48.3% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dalian Zhixing. Chongqing Tongliang Long have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chongqing Tongliang Long expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Dalian Zhixing in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dalian Zhixing having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 7 with 30 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 25:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Nany Dimata (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yingkai (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Dalian Zhixing have collected 32 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 33:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolae Stanciu (1 goals), Yang Mingrui (1 goals), Isnik Alimi (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolae Stanciu (2 assists), Yang Mingrui (1 assists), Cephas Malele (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 2 times, Dalian Zhixing won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Chongqing Tongliang Long's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Chongqing Tongliang Long 5-4-1 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 2, draws 1, Dalian Zhixing wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation