🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
16.08.2026 22:00
Soldier Field
Referee: Chris Penso, USA
Chicago Fire
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
R. Lod · Assist: A. Gutman
Chicago Fire
14'
D. D'Avilla · Assist: M. Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
🟨
51'
Brandon Bye
Portland Timbers
🟨
57'
Robin Lod
Chicago Fire
🔄
60'
R. Lewandowski ↔ J. Bamba
Chicago Fire
🔄
60'
P. Zinckernagel ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🔄
61'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
🔄
61'
Antony ↔ A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
L. Barroso ↔ J. Dean
Chicago Fire
🔄
76'
D. Chara ↔ J. Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🔄
76'
D. Da Costa ↔ V. Janssen
Portland Timbers
🟨
79'
Anton Salétros
Chicago Fire
🔄
82'
A. Saletros ↔ M. Pineda
Chicago Fire
85'
F. Surman · Assist: B. Bye
Portland Timbers
🔄
88'
K. Miller ↔ O. Fernandez
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+4'
Vincent Janssen
Portland Timbers

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.2%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 52.2%
Draw 14%
Portland Timbers Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.8
Portland Timbers1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
41 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
14
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
16
5.12
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 23 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic Portland Timbers
11 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 10
41 Goals For 41
31 Goals Against 42
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
14 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 6
5.12 Shots On Goal 4.78
14.47 Total Shots 13.44
4.59 Corners 5.06
52.4% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Chicago Fire's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Portland Timbers. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chicago Fire expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Portland Timbers in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 29 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a 32:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Portland Timbers Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Portland Timbers have collected 24 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:33 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Felipe Mora (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (4 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 3 times, Portland Timbers won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-4-2 / Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 3, draws 6, Portland Timbers wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)