Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.2%
|
1.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.33 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chicago Fire
23 matches
Portland Timbers
23 matches
| Chicago Fire | Statistic | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 41 | Goals For | 41 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.12 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 14.47 | Total Shots | 13.44 |
| 4.59 | Corners | 5 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Chicago Fire's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Portland Timbers. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chicago Fire expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Portland Timbers in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 29 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a 32:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
From their first 18 matches, Portland Timbers have collected 24 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:33 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Felipe Mora (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (4 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 3 times, Portland Timbers won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.
Chicago Fire
4
2
2
7
2
2
Lineups
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48:38 | 10 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
Home
|
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 33 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 48:46 | 2 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 29 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27:33 | -6 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | -18 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30:37 | -7 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 20 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|