🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Soldier Field
Referee: J. Freemon
Chicago Fire
Match Timeline
Charlotte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
A. Saletros
Chicago Fire
18'
P. Biel · Assist: I. Toklomati
Charlotte
20'
R. Lewandowski · Assist: P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
🟨
59'
J. Waterman
Chicago Fire
68'
R. Lewandowski · Assist: R. Lod
Chicago Fire
🔄
69'
H. Toffolo ↔ D. Schnegg
Charlotte
🔄
74'
J. Bamba ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🔄
77'
L. Abada ↔ R. Aloko
Charlotte
🔄
86'
L. de la Torre ↔ B. Bronico
Charlotte
🔄
86'
I. Toklomati ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
88'
R. Lod ↔ M. Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
🔄
88'
D. D'Avilla ↔ M. Pineda
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+5'
R. Lewandowski
Chicago Fire

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 62.5%
Draw 5%
Charlotte Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.59
Charlotte1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
39 GF / 30 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
34 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
5.13
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 22 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 21 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic Charlotte
10 Wins 10
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
39 Goals For 34
30 Goals Against 28
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
5.13 Shots On Goal 4.88
14.5 Total Shots 11.24
4.38 Corners 4.47
52.7% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charlotte. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chicago Fire expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Charlotte in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charlotte having the stronger overall control.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 26 points after 15 matches. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Charlotte Analysis

So far, Charlotte have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 4 times, Charlotte won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-4-2 / Charlotte 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 4, draws 0, Charlotte wins 5
Stats
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Charlotte Charlotte
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
9
8 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 3
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 9
8 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 7
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
462 Total passes 532
405 Passes accurate 478
1.59 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Chicago Fire
Formation
Charlotte
Chris Brady
Chris Brady
Leonardo Barroso
Leonardo Barroso
Joel Waterman
Joel Waterman
Jack Elliott
Jack Elliott
Andrew Gutman
Andrew Gutman
Philip Zinckernagel
🎯
Philip Zinckernagel
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Anton Salétros
Anton Salétros
Jonathan Bamba
Jonathan Bamba
Robert Lewandowski
⚽ 2
Robert Lewandowski
Robin Lod
🎯
Robin Lod
Kristijan Kahlina
Kristijan Kahlina
Nathan Byrne
Nathan Byrne
Morrison Agyemang
Morrison Agyemang
Henry Kessler
Henry Kessler
Harry Toffolo
Harry Toffolo
Luca De La Torre
Luca De La Torre
Ashley Westwood
Ashley Westwood
Djibril Diani
Djibril Diani
Pep Biel
Pep Biel
Idan Toklomati
🎯
Idan Toklomati
Liel Abada
Liel Abada
Chicago Fire 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Chris Brady
G
2
Leonardo Barroso
D
16
Joel Waterman
🟨 59'
D
3
Jack Elliott
D
15
Andrew Gutman
D
11
Philip Zinckernagel
🎯 20'
M
42
Dje Tah D'Avilla
↓ 88'
M
6
Anton Salétros
🟨 10'
M
19
Jonathan Bamba
↓ 74'
M
9
Robert Lewandowski
⚽ 20' ⚽ 68' 🟨 90+5'
F
17
Robin Lod
🎯 68' ↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
12
Puso Dithejane
↑ 74'
F
22
Mauricio Pineda
↑ 88'
D
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
↑ 88'
M
44
Josh Cohen
G
24
Jonathan Dean
D
14
Viktor Radojević
D
5
Samuel Rogers
D
35
Sergio Oregel
M
20
Jason Shokalook
F
Charlotte 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
14
Nathan Byrne
D
44
Morrison Agyemang
D
22
Henry Kessler
D
15
Harry Toffolo
↓ 69'
D
17
Luca De La Torre
↓ 86'
M
8
Ashley Westwood
M
28
Djibril Diani
M
16
Pep Biel
⚽ 18'
F
9
Idan Toklomati
🎯 18' ↓ 86'
F
11
Liel Abada
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
23
David Schnegg
↑ 69'
D
37
Rodolfo Aloko
↑ 77'
F
13
Brandt Bronico
↑ 86'
M
7
Archie Goodwin
↑ 86'
F
21
Tyler Miller
G
4
Andrew Privett
D
35
Will Cleary
D
20
Baye Coulibaly
M
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Last matches: Chicago Fire
19.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
16.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
25.07.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
1
3
L
22.07.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
2
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
Last matches: Charlotte
19.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
3
D
15.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
3
1
W
25.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
H2H: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte
02.08.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
3
2
W
17.05.25
H2H
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
1
4
W
02.10.24
H2H
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
4
3
L
16.05.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
0
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
0
2
L
17.05.23
H2H
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
2
1
L
18.09.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
3
L
06.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
2
3
W
Last matches: Chicago Fire
16.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
H2H at home: Chicago Fire
02.08.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
3
2
W
16.05.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
0
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
0
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
3
L
Last matches: Charlotte
19.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
3
D
25.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
H2H away: Charlotte
02.08.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
1
L
29.06.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
3
2
L
16.05.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
0
1
W
08.10.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
0
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
3
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2 20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3 19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4 20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5 20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6 20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7 20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8 20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9 20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11 20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12 20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13 20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14 20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)