Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.5%
|
1.52 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.43 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.5%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
6.75 |
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chicago Fire
22 matches
Charlotte
21 matches
| Chicago Fire | Statistic | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 39 | Goals For | 34 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 11.24 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 4.47 |
| 52.7% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charlotte. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chicago Fire expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Charlotte in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charlotte having the stronger overall control.
Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 26 points after 15 matches. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (3 assists), Jonathan Bamba (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
So far, Charlotte have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 3 times, Charlotte won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Austin
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 13 | 37 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
Home
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Charlotte
Away
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | -1 | 23 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | -11 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 22 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | -16 | 20 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 24:32 | -8 | 17 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 15 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 12 |
L
D
L
L
D
|