BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
09.08.2026 16:00
Ticha Stadium
Referee: Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Anton Nedyalkov
Ludogorets
30'
G. Lazarov · Assist: E. Tombak
Cherno More Varna
🟨
34'
Mohamed Achi
Cherno More Varna
🟨
39'
Edvin Kurtulus
Ludogorets
🔄
46'
P. Stanic ↔ A. Camara
Ludogorets
🔄
46'
A. Salido Tajero ↔ Nathan Fernandes
Ludogorets
47'
Rwan Cruz
Ludogorets
50'
Rwan Cruz
Ludogorets
53'
I. Chochev · Assist: S. Shishkov
Ludogorets
🔄
63'
V. Panayotov ↔ C. Sidney
Cherno More Varna
🔄
63'
E. Nyagolov ↔ N. Zlatev
Cherno More Varna
🔄
64'
G. Lazarov ↔ B. Beyhan
Cherno More Varna
🔄
65'
J. Andersson ↔ M. Polendakov
Ludogorets
🟨
68'
Nikolay Zlatev
Cherno More Varna
🟨
68'
Nathan Fernandes
Ludogorets
🔄
74'
Rwan Cruz ↔ K. Duah
Ludogorets
🔄
77'
M. Achi ↔ I. Bounaas
Cherno More Varna
🔄
77'
A. Kolev ↔ J. Padilla
Cherno More Varna
🟨
82'
Berk Beyhan
Cherno More Varna
84'
N. Zlatev · Assist: B. Beyhan
Cherno More Varna
🔄
87'
B. Tekpetey ↔ D. Duarte
Ludogorets

Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cherno More Varna Win 30.7%
Draw 21.1%
Ludogorets Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cherno More Varna1.33
Ludogorets1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
WWDLW
19 GF / 11 GA
Ludogorets Ludogorets
WLDWL
26 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 15 matches
Ludogorets Ludogorets 12 matches
Cherno More Varna Statistic Ludogorets
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
19 Goals For 26
11 Goals Against 17
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
4 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More Varna won 4 times, Ludogorets won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Cherno More Varna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Cherno More Varna 3-5-2 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cherno More Varna wins 4, draws 4, Ludogorets wins 7

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
3 8 6 2 0 21:6 15 20
W D W W W
4 9 6 1 2 17:9 8 19
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 14:11 3 16
L L W W W
6 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
W W L L L
7 9 2 5 2 8:6 2 11
D W L D D
8 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 10
D D D L L
9 9 2 2 5 7:17 -10 8
D W L W L
10 9 2 2 5 8:15 -7 8
L L D W W
11 9 2 0 7 4:12 -8 6
L W L L L
12 9 1 2 6 10:19 -9 5
D L L W L
13 8 0 4 4 10:16 -6 4
D L D L L
14 9 1 1 7 8:17 -9 4
L L D L W
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