Cherno More Varna
Match Timeline
Ludogorets
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
69.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Cherno More Varna Win 30.7%
Draw 21.1%
Ludogorets Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cherno More Varna1.33
Ludogorets1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cherno More Varna
WWDLW
19 GF / 11 GA
Ludogorets
WLDWL
26 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cherno More Varna
15 matches
Ludogorets
12 matches
| Cherno More Varna | Statistic | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 19 | Goals For | 26 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More Varna won 4 times, Ludogorets won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Cherno More Varna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Cherno More Varna 3-5-2 / Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cherno More Varna wins 4, draws 4, Ludogorets wins 7
Lineups
Cherno More Varna
Formation
Ludogorets
K. Tomov
Z. Atanasov
L. Squadrone
Joao Bandaro
E. Tombak
V. Panayotov
D. Teles
M. Achi
E. Nyagolov
G. Lazarov
A. Kolev
H. Bonmann
J. Andersson
E. Kurtulus
A. Nedyalkov
S. Shishkov
I. Chochev
F. Kaloc
A. Salido Tajero
P. Stanic
B. Tekpetey
Rwan Cruz
Cherno More Varna
3-5-2
Starting XI
81
K. Tomov
G
3
Z. Atanasov
D
5
L. Squadrone
D
26
Joao Bandaro
D
50
E. Tombak
D
🎯 30'
71
V. Panayotov
M
↓ 63'
24
D. Teles
M
11
M. Achi
M
↓ 77'
🟨 34'
13
E. Nyagolov
D
↓ 63'
19
G. Lazarov
F
⚽ 30'
↓ 64'
20
A. Kolev
F
↓ 77'
Substitutes
31
D. Hristov
G
29
B. Beyhan
M
🎯 84'
↑ 64'
🟨 82'
10
C. Sidney
F
↑ 63'
22
N. Kostadinov
M
39
N. Zlatev
M
⚽ 84'
↑ 63'
🟨 68'
99
I. Bounaas
M
↑ 77'
23
M. Banev
M
9
J. Padilla
F
↑ 77'
93
G. Ventsislavov
D
14
A. Todorov
M
37
V. Kerchev
D
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
H. Bonmann
G
2
J. Andersson
D
↓ 65'
15
E. Kurtulus
D
🟨 39'
3
A. Nedyalkov
D
🟨 27'
42
S. Shishkov
D
🎯 53'
18
I. Chochev
M
⚽ 53'
26
F. Kaloc
M
7
A. Salido Tajero
F
↓ 46'
14
P. Stanic
M
↓ 46'
37
B. Tekpetey
M
↓ 87'
12
Rwan Cruz
F
⚽ 47'
⚽ 50'
↓ 74'
Substitutes
22
M. Polendakov
D
↑ 65'
29
E. Bile
F
20
A. Camara
M
↑ 46'
24
O. Verdon
D
23
D. Duarte
M
↑ 87'
27
Vinicius Nogueira
D
82
I. Yordanov
M
40
A. Marinov
M
9
K. Duah
F
↑ 74'
1
S. Padt
G
10
Nathan Fernandes
F
↑ 46'
🟨 68'
Last matches: Cherno More Varna
14.08.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
26.07.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
19.07.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
1
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0
0
D
24.06.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Yantra 2019
1
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
2
3
L
16.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
12.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
15.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0
4
L
09.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
Last matches: Ludogorets
15.08.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2
2
D
27.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Dunav Ruse
2
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Teuta Durrës
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ludogorets
FC Botosani
2
2
D
26.06.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7
4
W
29.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
13.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
09.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
3
0
W
H2H: Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets
09.08.26
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
3
L
09.04.26
H2H
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
0
D
13.05.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
4
0
W
19.02.24
H2H
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
3
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
0
W
07.06.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
1
L
11.05.23
H2H
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
1
2
W
25.04.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
2
L
12.03.23
H2H
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
3
2
L
29.08.22
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
3
L
Last matches: Cherno More Varna
26.07.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
1
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
2
3
L
12.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
15.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0
4
L
05.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
3
L
15.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Montana
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
3
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
06.12.25
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
22.11.25
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Cherno More Varna
09.08.26
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
0
D
13.05.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
0
W
22.02.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
4
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
0
W
07.06.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
1
L
25.04.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
2
L
29.08.22
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
3
L
Last matches: Ludogorets
27.07.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Dunav Ruse
2
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
09.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
15.04.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
19.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
1
W
09.03.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Montana
3
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
23.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fir
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Ludogorets
Rangers
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
11.01.26
Fri
Ludogorets
Paks
3
2
W
19.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Beroe
4
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
23.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Ludogorets
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
27.10.25
Fir
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
4
5
L
H2H away: Ludogorets
09.08.26
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
0
D
13.05.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
0
L
22.02.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
4
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
0
L
07.06.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
1
W
25.04.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
1
2
W
29.08.22
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
2
3
W
Standings
First League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ludogorets
Away
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Cherno More Varna
Home
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Play-offs
Play-offs playoffs
Relegation Playoffs