ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
21.04.2026 18:45
Whaddon Road
Referee: S. Parkinson
Cheltenham
Match Timeline
Tranmere
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
40'
G. Miller
Cheltenham
47'
N. Smith
Tranmere
64'
J. Joseph · Assist: S. Negru
Tranmere
🔄
66'
J. Martin ↔ J. Thomas
Cheltenham
🔄
66'
G. Miller ↔ M. Faal
Cheltenham
🔄
77'
A. Jude-Boyd ↔ J. Bickerstaff
Cheltenham
🔄
77'
C. Deeming ↔ H. Ashfield
Cheltenham
🔄
83'
K. Woolery ↔ J. Ironside
Tranmere
85'
O. Patrick · Assist: J. Joseph
Tranmere
🔄
86'
J. Tomkinson ↔ G. Nurse
Cheltenham
🔄
89'
O. Patrick ↔ J. Plant
Tranmere
🟨
90+4'
Isaac Hutchinson
Cheltenham

Cheltenham vs Tranmere Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 73.5%
Draw 0%
Tranmere Win 26.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.46
Tranmere1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
58 GF / 72 GA
Tranmere Tranmere
WLDWL
51 GF / 77 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
23
BTTS Yes
26
20
Over 2.5
24
3
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 46 matches
Tranmere Tranmere 44 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Tranmere
16 Wins 9
10 Draws 10
20 Losses 25
58 Goals For 51
72 Goals Against 77
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
23 BTTS Yes 26
36 Over 1.5 36
20 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 16
12 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 12
3 Shots On Goal 3.67
9.87 Total Shots 11.88
3.87 Corners 4.19
47.1% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tranmere arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tranmere. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Tranmere in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tranmere having the stronger overall control.

Cheltenham Analysis

With 52 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Cheltenham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats with a 48:67 goal balance points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Thomas (6 goals), G. Miller (5 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tranmere Analysis

Tranmere approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 37 points from 43 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 49:72, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through C. Whitaker (9 goals), O. Patrick (7 goals), J. Ironside (5 goals), with creative support from O. Patrick (5 assists), J. Davison (4 assists), C. Jennings (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 7 times, Tranmere won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Cheltenham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Tranmere 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 7, draws 0, Tranmere wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
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