Cheltenham vs Tranmere Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.9%
|
- |
Cheltenham
Tranmere
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cheltenham
46 matches
Tranmere
44 matches
| Cheltenham | Statistic | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 25 |
| 58 | Goals For | 51 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 77 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 9.87 | Total Shots | 11.88 |
| 3.87 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 47.1% | Ball Possession | 48.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tranmere arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tranmere. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Tranmere in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tranmere having the stronger overall control.
With 52 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Cheltenham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats with a 48:67 goal balance points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Thomas (6 goals), G. Miller (5 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tranmere approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 37 points from 43 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 49:72, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through C. Whitaker (9 goals), O. Patrick (7 goals), J. Ironside (5 goals), with creative support from O. Patrick (5 assists), J. Davison (4 assists), C. Jennings (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 7 times, Tranmere won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Cheltenham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Cheltenham
Home
|
46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 |
Tranmere
Away
|
46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|