ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
19.05.2026 19:15
Stamford Bridge
Referee: S. Attwell
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Tottenham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
E. Fernandez · Assist: P. Neto
Chelsea
🟨
28'
Pedro Porro
Tottenham
🟨
43'
Micky van de Ven
Tottenham
🟨
63'
Destiny Udogie
Tottenham
67'
Andrey Santos · Assist: E. Fernandez
Chelsea
🔄
69'
R. Kolo Muani ↔ J. Maddison
Tottenham
🔄
69'
D. Udogie ↔ D. Spence
Tottenham
🔄
69'
J. Palhinha ↔ P. M. Sarr
Tottenham
🔄
74'
J. Acheampong ↔ T. Chalobah
Chelsea
74'
Richarlison · Assist: P. M. Sarr
Tottenham
🟨
79'
Jorrel Hato
Chelsea
🔄
81'
W. Fofana ↔ M. Sarr
Chelsea
🟨
85'
Marc Cucurella
Chelsea
🟨
87'
Liam Delap
Chelsea
🔄
89'
P. Neto ↔ A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🔄
89'
C. Palmer ↔ D. Essugo
Chelsea
🔄
89'
L. Delap ↔ S. Mheuka
Chelsea
🟨
90+2'
Dário Essugo
Chelsea

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 61.7%
Draw 0%
Tottenham Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.71
Tottenham1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
95 GF / 71 GA
Tottenham Tottenham
WLDWL
71 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
30
BTTS Yes
28
35
Over 2.5
31
5
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 52 matches
Tottenham Tottenham 48 matches
Chelsea Statistic Tottenham
23 Wins 15
11 Draws 14
18 Losses 19
95 Goals For 71
71 Goals Against 73
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
30 BTTS Yes 28
43 Over 1.5 40
35 Over 2.5 31
21 Over 3.5 16
15 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 8
5 Shots On Goal 4.27
14.04 Total Shots 11.71
6.04 Corners 5.21
58.3% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Chelsea's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Tottenham seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tottenham. Chelsea have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Chelsea Analysis

Chelsea approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 49 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 55:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (15 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Mudryk, J. Gittens, J. Derry unavailable.

Tottenham Analysis

Tottenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 38 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 46:55 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Richarlison (10 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), J. Palhinha (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (5 assists), Richarlison (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 11 times, Tottenham won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:13 from Chelsea's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Tottenham 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 8
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 11, draws 2, Tottenham wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship