Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Chelsea
Tottenham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
52 matches
Tottenham
48 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 15 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 18 | Losses | 19 |
| 95 | Goals For | 71 |
| 71 | Goals Against | 73 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 30 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 43 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 21 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.27 |
| 14.04 | Total Shots | 11.71 |
| 6.04 | Corners | 5.21 |
| 58.3% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Chelsea's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Tottenham seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tottenham. Chelsea have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Chelsea approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 49 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 55:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (15 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Mudryk, J. Gittens, J. Derry unavailable.
Tottenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 38 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 46:55 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Richarlison (10 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), J. Palhinha (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (5 assists), Richarlison (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 11 times, Tottenham won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:13 from Chelsea's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 |
Tottenham
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|