ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stamford Bridge
Referee: S. Attwell
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Tottenham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
E. Fernandez · Assist: P. Neto
Chelsea
🟨
28'
Pedro Porro
Tottenham
🟨
43'
Micky van de Ven
Tottenham
🟨
63'
Destiny Udogie
Tottenham
67'
Andrey Santos · Assist: E. Fernandez
Chelsea
🔄
69'
R. Kolo Muani ↔ J. Maddison
Tottenham
🔄
69'
D. Udogie ↔ D. Spence
Tottenham
🔄
69'
J. Palhinha ↔ P. M. Sarr
Tottenham
🔄
74'
J. Acheampong ↔ T. Chalobah
Chelsea
74'
Richarlison · Assist: P. M. Sarr
Tottenham
🟨
79'
Jorrel Hato
Chelsea
🔄
81'
W. Fofana ↔ M. Sarr
Chelsea
🟨
85'
Marc Cucurella
Chelsea
🟨
87'
Liam Delap
Chelsea
🔄
89'
P. Neto ↔ A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🔄
89'
C. Palmer ↔ D. Essugo
Chelsea
🔄
89'
L. Delap ↔ S. Mheuka
Chelsea
🟨
90+2'
Dário Essugo
Chelsea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 61.7%
Draw 0%
Tottenham Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.71
Tottenham1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
95 GF / 71 GA
Tottenham Tottenham
WLDWL
71 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
30
BTTS Yes
28
35
Over 2.5
31
5
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 52 matches
Tottenham Tottenham 48 matches
Chelsea Statistic Tottenham
23 Wins 15
11 Draws 14
18 Losses 19
95 Goals For 71
71 Goals Against 73
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
30 BTTS Yes 28
43 Over 1.5 40
35 Over 2.5 31
21 Over 3.5 16
15 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 8
5 Shots On Goal 4.27
14.04 Total Shots 11.71
6.04 Corners 5.21
58.3% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Chelsea's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Tottenham seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tottenham. Chelsea have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Chelsea Analysis

Chelsea approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 49 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 55:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (15 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Mudryk, J. Gittens, J. Derry unavailable.

Tottenham Analysis

Tottenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 38 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 46:55 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Richarlison (10 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), J. Palhinha (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (5 assists), Richarlison (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 11 times, Tottenham won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Chelsea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Tottenham 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 8
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 11, draws 3, Tottenham wins 1
Stats
Chelsea Chelsea
Tottenham Tottenham
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
425 Total passes 539
354 Passes accurate 474
0.63 expected_goals 1.72
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Chelsea
Formation
Tottenham
R. Sanchez
R. Sanchez
J. Acheampong
J. Acheampong
W. Fofana
W. Fofana
J. Hato
J. Hato
M. Cucurella
M. Cucurella
Andrey Santos
Andrey Santos
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
P. Neto
🎯
P. Neto
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
E. Fernandez
🎯
E. Fernandez
L. Delap
L. Delap
A. Kinsky
A. Kinsky
P. Porro
P. Porro
K. Danso
K. Danso
M. van de Ven
M. van de Ven
D. Udogie
D. Udogie
R. Bentancur
R. Bentancur
J. Palhinha
J. Palhinha
R. Kolo Muani
R. Kolo Muani
C. Gallagher
C. Gallagher
M. Tel
M. Tel
Richarlison
Richarlison
Chelsea 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Sanchez
G
34
J. Acheampong
↓ 74'
D
29
W. Fofana
↓ 81'
D
21
J. Hato
🟨 79'
D
3
M. Cucurella
🟨 85'
D
17
Andrey Santos
⚽ 67'
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
7
P. Neto
🎯 18' ↓ 89'
M
10
C. Palmer
↓ 89'
M
8
E. Fernandez
⚽ 18' 🎯 67'
M
9
L. Delap
↓ 89' 🟨 87'
F
Substitutes
12
F. Jorgensen
G
23
T. Chalobah
↑ 74'
D
24
R. James
D
49
A. Garnacho
↑ 89'
F
19
M. Sarr
↑ 81'
D
14
D. Essugo
↑ 89' 🟨 90+2'
M
62
S. Mheuka
↑ 89'
F
55
J. Derry
F
76
R. Kavuma McQueen
F
Tottenham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
A. Kinsky
G
23
P. Porro
🟨 28'
D
4
K. Danso
D
37
M. van de Ven
🟨 43'
D
13
D. Udogie
↓ 69' 🟨 63'
D
30
R. Bentancur
M
6
J. Palhinha
↓ 69'
M
39
R. Kolo Muani
↓ 69'
M
22
C. Gallagher
M
11
M. Tel
M
9
Richarlison
⚽ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Vicario
G
3
R. Dragusin
D
14
A. Gray
M
38
Souza
D
10
J. Maddison
↑ 69'
M
8
Y. Bissouma
M
24
D. Spence
↑ 69'
D
29
P. M. Sarr
🎯 74' ↑ 69'
M
15
L. Bergvall
M
Last matches: Chelsea
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
04.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
13.02.26
FA
Chelsea
Hull City
4
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
1
W
Last matches: Tottenham
22.07.26
Fri
Tottenham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Everton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Leeds
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Aston Villa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Wolves
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Brighton
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Sunderland
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
15.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Liverpool
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
2
5
L
05.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Fulham
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Arsenal
1
4
L
10.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Newcastle
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester United
0
2
L
01.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester City
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Tottenham
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
Burnley
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
H2H: Chelsea vs Tottenham
19.05.26
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
0
1
W
03.04.25
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
0
W
08.12.24
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
3
4
W
02.05.24
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
W
06.11.23
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
1
4
W
26.02.23
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
2
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
2
D
23.01.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
W
12.01.22
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
0
1
W
05.01.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
W
19.09.21
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
0
3
W
04.08.21
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
2
D
04.02.21
H2H
Tottenham
Chelsea
0
1
W
29.11.20
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
0
0
D
Last matches: Chelsea
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.11.25
UEF
Chelsea
Barcelona
3
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
H2H at home: Chelsea
19.05.26
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
03.04.25
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
0
W
02.05.24
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
W
14.08.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
2
D
23.01.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
W
05.01.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
W
04.08.21
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
2
D
29.11.20
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
0
0
D
Last matches: Tottenham
03.05.26
Pre
Tottenham
Aston Villa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Wolves
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Tottenham
Sunderland
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Liverpool
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
2
5
L
01.03.26
Pre
Tottenham
Fulham
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Tottenham
Manchester United
0
2
L
28.01.26
UEF
Tottenham
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
Burnley
2
2
D
07.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
Bournemouth
2
3
L
01.01.26
Pre
Tottenham
Brentford
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pre
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
02.12.25
Pre
Tottenham
Newcastle
2
2
D
26.11.25
UEF
Tottenham
Paris Saint Germain
3
5
L
23.11.25
Pre
Tottenham
Arsenal
1
4
L
26.10.25
Pre
Tottenham
Everton
3
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Tottenham
Monaco
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
Tottenham
Leeds
2
1
W
30.09.25
UEF
Tottenham
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
H2H away: Tottenham
19.05.26
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
L
03.04.25
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
0
L
02.05.24
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
2
D
23.01.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
L
05.01.22
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
0
L
04.08.21
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
2
D
29.11.20
H2H
Chelsea
Tottenham
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Missing Players

Chelsea 5 missing
-
M. Mudryk
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
J. Gittens
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Derry
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT
-
R. Lavia
Questionable Knock
OUT
-
Unknown Player
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
Tottenham 8 missing
-
M. Kudus
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
B. Davies
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
D. Kulusevski
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Maddison
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
W. Odobert
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
X. Simons
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Romero
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Solanke
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT