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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
04.10.2025 16:30
Stamford Bridge
Referee: A. Taylor
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Liverpool
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
M. Caicedo · Assist: M. Gusto
Chelsea
🟨
34'
Conor Bradley
Liverpool
🔄
46'
C. Bradley ↔ F. Wirtz
Liverpool
🔄
55'
B. Badiashile ↔ R. Lavia
Chelsea
🔄
55'
M. Kerkez ↔ A. Robertson
Liverpool
🔄
56'
I. Konate ↔ C. Jones
Liverpool
⚽
63'
C. Gakpo · Assist: A. Isak
Liverpool
🔄
68'
J. Acheampong ↔ J. Hato
Chelsea
🔄
74'
Joao Pedro ↔ M. Guiu
Chelsea
🔄
74'
A. Isak ↔ H. Ekitike
Liverpool
🔄
75'
A. Garnacho ↔ J. Gittens
Chelsea
🔄
75'
P. Neto ↔ Estêvão
Chelsea
🟨
79'
Dominik Szoboszlai
Liverpool
🔄
86'
A. Mac Allister ↔ W. Endo
Liverpool
⚽
90'
Estevao · Assist: M. Cucurella
Chelsea

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Liverpool Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.48
Liverpool1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
13 GF / 11 GA
Liverpool Liverpool
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 8 matches
Liverpool Liverpool 8 matches
Chelsea Statistic Liverpool
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
3 Losses 2
13 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 10
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 4.75
11.88 Total Shots 15.88
5.38 Corners 6
58.8% Ball Possession 63.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 3 times, Liverpool won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Chelsea's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 3, draws 8, Liverpool wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship