Chelsea
Match Timeline
Leeds
Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.1%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 32.1%
Draw 13%
Leeds Win 54.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.73
Leeds1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
92 GF / 66 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
53 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
28
BTTS Yes
23
34
Over 2.5
22
5.19
Shots on Goal
4.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
48 matches
Leeds
38 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 15 |
| 16 | Losses | 12 |
| 92 | Goals For | 53 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 34 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 14.33 | Total Shots | 13.32 |
| 6.08 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 58.6% | Ball Possession | 46.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 7 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Chelsea's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 7, draws 2, Leeds wins 2