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ENGLAND › FA CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Chelsea
FT
1 - 0
Leeds
Wembley Stadium
Referee: J. Gillett
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Leeds
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
E. Fernandez · Assist: P. Neto
Chelsea
🔄
46'
J. Justin ↔ J. Rodon
Leeds
🔄
46'
J. Bijol ↔ A. Stach
Leeds
🟨
60'
Moisés Caicedo
Chelsea
🔄
66'
R. Lavia ↔ Andrey Santos
Chelsea
🔄
71'
A. Garnacho ↔ C. Palmer
Chelsea
🔄
74'
A. Tanaka ↔ L. Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
74'
N. Okafor ↔ W. Gnonto
Leeds
🟨
76'
Pascal Struijk
Leeds
🟨
77'
Cole Palmer
Chelsea
🟨
78'
Ethan Ampadu
Leeds
🟨
84'
Lukas Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
86'
B. Aaronson ↔ S. Longstaff
Leeds
🟨
90+4'
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
🟨
90+4'
Jayden Bogle
Leeds
🔄
90+8'
Joao Pedro ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 32.1%
Draw 13%
Leeds Win 54.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.73
Leeds1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
92 GF / 66 GA
Leeds Leeds
WLDWL
53 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
28
BTTS Yes
23
34
Over 2.5
22
5.19
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 48 matches
Leeds Leeds 38 matches
Chelsea Statistic Leeds
22 Wins 11
10 Draws 15
16 Losses 12
92 Goals For 53
66 Goals Against 55
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
28 BTTS Yes 23
41 Over 1.5 29
34 Over 2.5 22
20 Over 3.5 15
14 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 11
5.19 Shots On Goal 4.29
14.33 Total Shots 13.32
6.08 Corners 4.68
58.6% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 7 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Chelsea's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 7, draws 2, Leeds wins 2
Stats
Chelsea Chelsea
Leeds Leeds
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
494 Total passes 400
425 Passes accurate 323
0.40 expected_goals 0.68
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Chelsea
Formation
Leeds
R. Sanchez
R. Sanchez
M. Gusto
M. Gusto
T. Chalobah
T. Chalobah
T. Adarabioyo
T. Adarabioyo
M. Cucurella
M. Cucurella
R. Lavia
↓
R. Lavia
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
P. Neto
🎯
P. Neto
E. Fernandez
⚽
E. Fernandez
A. Garnacho
↓
A. Garnacho
Joao Pedro
↓
Joao Pedro
Lucas Perri
Lucas Perri
J. Justin
↓
J. Justin
J. Bijol
↓
J. Bijol
P. Struijk
P. Struijk
J. Bogle
J. Bogle
E. Ampadu
E. Ampadu
A. Tanaka
↓
A. Tanaka
G. Gudmundsson
G. Gudmundsson
B. Aaronson
↓
B. Aaronson
N. Okafor
↓
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
D. Calvert-Lewin
Chelsea 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Sanchez
G
27
M. Gusto
D
23
T. Chalobah
D
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
3
M. Cucurella
D
45
R. Lavia
↓ 66'
M
25
M. Caicedo
🟨 60'
M
7
P. Neto
🎯 23' 🟨 90+4'
M
8
E. Fernandez
⚽ 23'
M
49
A. Garnacho
↓ 71'
M
20
Joao Pedro
↓ 90+8'
F
Substitutes
28
T. Sharman-Lowe
G
29
W. Fofana
D
10
C. Palmer
↑ 71' 🟨 77'
M
17
Andrey Santos
↑ 66'
M
9
L. Delap
↑ 90+8'
F
14
D. Essugo
M
21
J. Hato
D
34
J. Acheampong
D
55
J. Derry
F
Leeds 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Lucas Perri
G
24
J. Justin
↓ 46'
D
15
J. Bijol
↓ 46'
D
5
P. Struijk
🟨 76'
D
2
J. Bogle
🟨 90+4'
M
4
E. Ampadu
🟨 78'
M
22
A. Tanaka
↓ 74'
M
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
11
B. Aaronson
↓ 86'
F
19
N. Okafor
↓ 74'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
Substitutes
26
K. Darlow
G
7
D. James
M
23
S. Bornauw
D
6
J. Rodon
↑ 46'
D
18
A. Stach
↑ 46'
M
14
L. Nmecha
↑ 74' 🟨 84'
F
8
S. Longstaff
↑ 86'
M
10
J. Piroe
F
29
W. Gnonto
↑ 74'
F
Last matches: Chelsea
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
04.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
4
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
13.02.26
FA
Chelsea
Hull City
4
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
1
W
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
H2H: Chelsea vs Leeds
26.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
10.02.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
03.12.25
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
3
1
L
28.02.24
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
3
0
L
11.05.22
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
0
3
W
11.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
13.03.21
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
0
0
D
05.12.20
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
1
W
19.12.12
H2H
Leeds
Chelsea
1
5
W
Last matches: Chelsea
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.11.25
UEF
Chelsea
Barcelona
3
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
H2H at home: Chelsea
26.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
10.02.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
28.02.24
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
11.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
W
05.12.20
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
1
W
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Leeds
Derby
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
3
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
1
W
H2H away: Leeds
26.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
L
10.02.26
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
28.02.24
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
L
04.03.23
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
L
11.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
2
L
05.12.20
H2H
Chelsea
Leeds
3
1
L