Chelsea
Match Timeline
AC Milan
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
48.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
73.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 48.4%
Draw 16.5%
AC Milan Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2
AC Milan1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
AC Milan
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
3 matches
AC Milan
2 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 7 | Goals For | 3 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 5 times, AC Milan won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:2 from Chelsea's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 5, draws 0, AC Milan wins 0
Lineups
Chelsea
Formation
AC Milan
R. Sanchez
J. Acheampong
W. Fofana
J. Hato
P. Neto
M. Caicedo
R. Lavia
M. Palestra
C. Palmer
D. Welbeck
Joao Pedro
L. Torriani
F. Terracciano
K. De Winter
S. Pavlovic
S. Chukwueze
L. Modric
C. Comotto
P. Estupinan
R. Loftus-Cheek
R. Leao
F. Camarda
Chelsea
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Sanchez
34
J. Acheampong
29
W. Fofana
↓ 90+2'
21
J. Hato
↓ 79'
7
P. Neto
🎯 46'
↓ 59'
25
M. Caicedo
⚽ 50'
🎯 45'
↓ 85'
45
R. Lavia
🎯 50'
2
M. Palestra
10
C. Palmer
↓ 85'
18
D. Welbeck
↓ 58'
20
Joao Pedro
⚽ 45'
⚽ 46'
↓ 85'
Substitutes
28
T. Sharman-Lowe
39
M. Penders
11
J. Gittens
15
N. Jackson
↑ 58'
19
M. Sarr
↑ 90+2'
41
Estêvão
↑ 85'
30
A. Anselmino
↑ 79'
46
R. Walsh
36
D. Satpaev
32
M. Nicoll-Jazuli
31
R. Watson
↑ 85'
4
T. Adarabioyo
43
M. Mudryk
↑ 85'
9
L. Delap
14
D. Essugo
47
G. Quenda
↑ 59'
37
O. Subuloye
AC Milan
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
96
L. Torriani
42
F. Terracciano
↓ 59'
5
K. De Winter
↓ 46'
31
S. Pavlovic
↓ 46'
🟨 45'
21
S. Chukwueze
↓ 46'
14
L. Modric
↓ 46'
28
C. Comotto
↓ 46'
2
P. Estupinan
↓ 46'
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
↓ 59'
10
R. Leao
↓ 46'
73
F. Camarda
↓ 46'
Substitutes
37
M. Pittarella
41
L. P. Bouyer
23
F. Tomori
18
C. Nkunku
↑ 46'
56
A. Saelemaekers
↑ 46'
4
S. Ricci
↑ 59'
9
G. Ramos
↑ 46'
80
Y. Musah
↑ 46'
70
A. Cisse
33
D. Bartesaghi
↑ 46'
24
Z. Athekame
35
V. Vladimirov
↑ 59'
46
M. Gabbia
↑ 46'
19
Y. Fofana
30
A. Jashari
↑ 46'
27
D. Odogu
13
S. Diawara
↑ 46'
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
H2H: Chelsea vs AC Milan
08.08.26
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
4
1
W
11.10.22
H2H
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
2
W
05.10.22
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
04.08.16
H2H
AC Milan
Chelsea
1
3
W
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H at home: Chelsea
08.08.26
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
4
1
W
05.10.22
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
15.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
3
1
W
11.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
1
D
02.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
0
W
18.12.25
Sup
AC Milan
Napoli
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
28.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
1
D
H2H away: AC Milan
08.08.26
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
4
1
L
05.10.22
H2H
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
L