ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
The Valley
Referee: R. Madley
Charlton
Match Timeline
Ipswich
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
G. Docherty
Charlton
🔄
18'
A. Bell ↔ L. Chambers
Charlton
36'
D. Furlong · Assist: A. Matusiwa
Ipswich
🟨
37'
Macaulay Gillesphey
Charlton
🔄
46'
T. Campbell ↔ L. Dykes
Charlton
58'
J. Philogene
Ipswich
🔄
59'
C. Kelman ↔ S. Carey
Charlton
🟨
61'
Lyndon Dykes
Charlton
🟨
65'
Jack Taylor
Ipswich
🔄
70'
J. Philogene ↔ J. Clarke
Ipswich
🔄
70'
J. Taylor ↔ D. Neil
Ipswich
🔄
77'
A. Mehmeti ↔ M. Nunez
Ipswich
🔄
78'
J. Rankin-Costello ↔ H. Knibbs
Charlton
🔄
78'
↔ M. Godden
Charlton
🔄
78'
I. Azon ↔ G. Hirst
Ipswich
🔄
86'
K. McAteer ↔ C. Kipre
Ipswich
🟨
90+8'
Jack Clarke
Ipswich

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Charlton Win 16.8%
Draw 5.1%
Ipswich Win 78.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlton0.98
Ipswich1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlton Charlton
WWDLW
41 GF / 57 GA
Ipswich Ipswich
WLDWL
75 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
23
BTTS Yes
25
16
Over 2.5
22
3.45
Shots on Goal
4.98

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlton Charlton 44 matches
Ipswich Ipswich 44 matches
Charlton Statistic Ipswich
12 Wins 22
14 Draws 13
18 Losses 9
41 Goals For 75
57 Goals Against 46
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
23 BTTS Yes 25
29 Over 1.5 37
16 Over 2.5 22
7 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 6
3.45 Shots On Goal 4.98
11.07 Total Shots 15.34
4.16 Corners 5.86
42.5% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ipswich's more proactive style and Charlton's more cautious structure. Ipswich seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Charlton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlton expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Ipswich in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ipswich having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ipswich. Ipswich carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 76 points while Charlton sit 19 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Charlton Analysis

Charlton sit 19 with 50 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 14 draws, and 17 defeats with a 39:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Carey (8 goals), Charlie Kelman (6 goals), James Bree (4 goals), with creative support from James Bree (5 assists), Greg Docherty (3 assists), T. Campbell (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Edwards unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Ipswich Analysis

Ipswich arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 76 points after 42 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 71:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Clarke (15 goals), G. Hirst (10 goals), J. Philogene (10 goals), with creative support from L. Davis (4 assists), I. Azon (3 assists), Conor Chaplin (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with W. Burns, D. Button, C. Townsend unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charlton won 3 times, Ipswich won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:27 from Charlton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Charlton 3-5-2 / Ipswich 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Charlton 2, Ipswich 4
H2H summary: Charlton wins 3, draws 4, Ipswich wins 8
Stats
Charlton Charlton
Ipswich Ipswich
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 11
1 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
300 Total passes 550
204 Passes accurate 467
0.33 expected_goals 1.87
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Charlton
Formation
Ipswich
T. Kaminski
T. Kaminski
C. Sichenje
C. Sichenje
L. Jones
L. Jones
M. Gillesphey
M. Gillesphey
J. Fevrier
J. Fevrier
J. Rankin-Costello
J. Rankin-Costello
C. Coventry
C. Coventry
G. Docherty
G. Docherty
A. Bell
A. Bell
C. Kelman
C. Kelman
T. Campbell
T. Campbell
C. Walton
C. Walton
D. Furlong
D. Furlong
D. O'Shea
D. O'Shea
J. Greaves
J. Greaves
B. Johnson
B. Johnson
A. Matusiwa
🎯
A. Matusiwa
J. Taylor
J. Taylor
K. McAteer
K. McAteer
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
J. Philogene
J. Philogene
I. Azon
I. Azon
Charlton 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
T. Kaminski
G
28
C. Sichenje
D
5
L. Jones
D
3
M. Gillesphey
🟨 37'
D
77
J. Fevrier
M
26
J. Rankin-Costello
↓ 78'
M
6
C. Coventry
M
10
G. Docherty
⚽ 1'
M
17
A. Bell
↓ 18'
M
23
C. Kelman
↓ 59'
F
7
T. Campbell
↓ 46'
Substitutes
25
W. Mannion
G
8
L. Berry
M
99
L. Dykes
↑ 46' 🟨 61'
F
41
H. Knibbs
↑ 78'
M
14
S. Carey
↑ 59'
M
15
C. Coady
D
24
M. Godden
↑ 78'
F
32
R. Burke
D
19
L. Chambers
↑ 18'
D
Ipswich 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
28
C. Walton
G
19
D. Furlong
⚽ 36'
D
26
D. O'Shea
D
24
J. Greaves
D
18
B. Johnson
D
5
A. Matusiwa
🎯 36'
M
14
J. Taylor
↓ 70' 🟨 65'
M
20
K. McAteer
↓ 86'
M
33
A. Mehmeti
↓ 77'
M
11
J. Philogene
⚽ 58' ↓ 70'
M
31
I. Azon
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Palmer
G
12
J. Cajuste
M
4
C. Kipre
↑ 86'
D
47
J. Clarke
↑ 70' 🟨 90+8'
F
32
M. Nunez
↑ 77'
M
8
S. W. Egeli
F
29
C. Akpom
F
9
G. Hirst
↑ 78'
F
6
D. Neil
↑ 70'
M
Last matches: Charlton
18.07.26
Fri
Charlton
Gillingham
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Charlton
Maribor
1
1
D
03.07.26
Fri
Charlton
Dartford
1
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Charlton
Swansea
1
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Preston
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Watford
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Bristol City
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Norwich
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Oxford United
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Birmingham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Charlton
West Brom
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Southampton
1
1
D
17.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
3
L
11.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Stoke City
1
0
W
06.02.26
Cha
Charlton
QPR
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Leicester
2
0
W
Last matches: Ipswich
02.05.26
Cha
Ipswich
QPR
3
0
W
28.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Southampton
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
West Brom
0
0
D
19.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Portsmouth
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Norwich
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Birmingham
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Millwall
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Stoke City
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Leicester
1
1
D
03.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Hull City
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Swansea
3
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Watford
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Wrexham
3
5
L
13.02.26
FA
Ipswich
Wrexham
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Derby
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Ipswich
Preston
1
1
D
24.01.26
Cha
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
20.01.26
Cha
Ipswich
Bristol City
2
0
W
H2H: Charlton vs Ipswich
22.04.26
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.10.25
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
0
3
W
15.04.23
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
6
0
L
29.10.22
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
4
4
D
30.04.22
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
4
0
L
07.12.21
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
2
0
W
17.04.21
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
0
D
28.11.20
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
0
2
W
05.04.16
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
0
0
D
28.11.15
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
3
L
30.12.14
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
3
0
L
29.11.14
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
1
L
01.01.14
H2H
Ipswich
Charlton
1
1
D
30.11.13
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
1
L
26.12.12
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
L
Last matches: Charlton
25.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Preston
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Bristol City
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Norwich
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Birmingham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Wrexham
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
3
L
11.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Stoke City
1
0
W
06.02.26
Cha
Charlton
QPR
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Derby
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Charlton
Chelsea
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Coventry
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cha
Charlton
Oxford United
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Charlton
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Charlton
Southampton
1
5
L
04.11.25
Cha
Charlton
West Brom
1
0
W
01.11.25
Cha
Charlton
Swansea
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
27.09.25
Cha
Charlton
Blackburn
3
0
W
H2H at home: Charlton
22.04.26
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
L
29.10.22
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
4
4
D
07.12.21
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
2
0
W
17.04.21
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
0
D
28.11.15
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
3
L
29.11.14
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
1
L
30.11.13
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
1
L
26.12.12
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
L
Last matches: Ipswich
28.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Southampton
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
West Brom
0
0
D
14.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Portsmouth
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Ipswich
Norwich
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Ipswich
Stoke City
3
3
D
24.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Watford
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Wrexham
3
5
L
13.02.26
FA
Ipswich
Wrexham
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Ipswich
Derby
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
29.12.25
Cha
Ipswich
Coventry
2
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Ipswich
Millwall
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Ipswich
Leicester
1
3
L
02.12.25
Cha
Ipswich
Blackburn
1
1
D
28.11.25
Cha
Ipswich
Oxford United
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Ipswich
Hull City
2
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Ipswich
Swansea
4
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Ipswich
QPR
4
1
W
17.10.25
Cha
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
H2H away: Ipswich
22.04.26
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
W
29.10.22
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
4
4
D
07.12.21
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
2
0
L
17.04.21
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
0
D
28.11.15
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
3
W
29.11.14
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
1
W
30.11.13
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
0
1
W
26.12.12
H2H
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Charlton 2 missing
-
J. Edwards
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
K. Ramsay
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Ipswich 4 missing
-
W. Burns
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
D. Button
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
C. Townsend
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Young
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT