Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
78.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.4%
|
- |
Charlton
Ipswich
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Charlton
44 matches
Ipswich
44 matches
| Charlton | Statistic | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 22 |
| 14 | Draws | 13 |
| 18 | Losses | 9 |
| 41 | Goals For | 75 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.45 | Shots On Goal | 4.98 |
| 11.07 | Total Shots | 15.34 |
| 4.16 | Corners | 5.86 |
| 42.5% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Ipswich's more proactive style and Charlton's more cautious structure. Ipswich seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Charlton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlton expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Ipswich in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ipswich having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ipswich. Ipswich carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 76 points while Charlton sit 19 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Charlton sit 19 with 50 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 14 draws, and 17 defeats with a 39:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Carey (8 goals), Charlie Kelman (6 goals), James Bree (4 goals), with creative support from James Bree (5 assists), Greg Docherty (3 assists), T. Campbell (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Edwards unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Ipswich arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 76 points after 42 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 71:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Clarke (15 goals), G. Hirst (10 goals), J. Philogene (10 goals), with creative support from L. Davis (4 assists), I. Azon (3 assists), Conor Chaplin (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with W. Burns, D. Button, C. Townsend unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charlton won 3 times, Ipswich won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:27 from Charlton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Charlton
3
5
1
4
2
4
Lineups
Charlton
Gillingham
Charlton
Maribor
Charlton
Dartford
Charlton
Swansea
Charlton
Hull City
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton
Preston
Charlton
Watford
Charlton
Bristol City
Charlton
Norwich
Charlton
Oxford United
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Birmingham
Charlton
Wrexham
Charlton
West Brom
Charlton
Southampton
Charlton
Portsmouth
Charlton
Stoke City
Charlton
QPR
Charlton
Leicester
Ipswich
QPR
Ipswich
Southampton
Ipswich
West Brom
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Norwich
Ipswich
Birmingham
Ipswich
Millwall
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Stoke City
Ipswich
Leicester
Ipswich
Hull City
Ipswich
Swansea
Ipswich
Watford
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Derby
Ipswich
Preston
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Bristol City
Charlton
Hull City
Charlton
Preston
Charlton
Bristol City
Charlton
Norwich
Charlton
Birmingham
Charlton
Wrexham
Charlton
Portsmouth
Charlton
Stoke City
Charlton
QPR
Charlton
Derby
Charlton
Sheffield Utd
Charlton
Chelsea
Charlton
Coventry
Charlton
Oxford United
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Southampton
Charlton
West Brom
Charlton
Swansea
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton
Blackburn
Ipswich
Southampton
Ipswich
West Brom
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Norwich
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Stoke City
Ipswich
Watford
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Derby
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Ipswich
Leicester
Ipswich
Blackburn
Ipswich
Oxford United
Ipswich
Hull City
Ipswich
Swansea
Ipswich
QPR
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Ipswich
Away
|
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 |
Charlton
Home
|
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|