ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
The Valley
Referee: T. Nield
Charlton
Match Timeline
Hull City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Collins Sichenje
Charlton
🔄
11'
E. Matazo ↔ P. McNair
Hull City
20'
C. Kelman · Assist: C. Coady
Charlton
🔄
28'
C. Sichenje ↔ R. Burke
Charlton
🟨
34'
Lewie Coyle
Hull City
🟨
45+6'
Thomas Kaminski
Charlton
45'
J. Egan · Assist: P. McNair
Hull City
🔄
46'
S. Ajayi ↔ M. Belloumi
Hull City
🔄
63'
H. Knibbs ↔ T. Campbell
Charlton
🔄
63'
S. Carey ↔ L. Chambers
Charlton
68'
J. Fevrier
Charlton
🔄
69'
J. Gelhardt ↔ R. Slater
Hull City
🔄
70'
L. Millar ↔ K. Joseph
Hull City
🔄
79'
R. Giles ↔ L. Koumas
Hull City
🔄
83'
C. Kelman ↔ L. Dykes
Charlton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Charlton Win 21.4%
Draw 18.7%
Hull City Win 59.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlton1.14
Hull City1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlton Charlton
WWDLW
42 GF / 59 GA
Hull City Hull City
WLDWL
67 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
24
BTTS Yes
28
17
Over 2.5
29
3.44
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlton Charlton 45 matches
Hull City Hull City 46 matches
Charlton Statistic Hull City
12 Wins 20
14 Draws 11
19 Losses 15
42 Goals For 67
59 Goals Against 67
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
24 BTTS Yes 28
30 Over 1.5 35
17 Over 2.5 29
7 Over 3.5 18
13 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 10
3.44 Shots On Goal 4
10.96 Total Shots 11.35
4.09 Corners 4.61
42.4% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hull City's more proactive style and Charlton's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlton expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Hull City in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hull City having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hull City. Charlton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hull City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 70 points while Charlton sit 21 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Charlton Analysis

Charlton approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 50 points from 44 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 14 draws, and 18 defeats with a 39:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Carey (8 goals), Charlie Kelman (6 goals), James Bree (4 goals), with creative support from James Bree (5 assists), Greg Docherty (3 assists), T. Campbell (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Edwards, K. Ramsay, A. Bell unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Hull City Analysis

Hull City are currently 7 in the standings with 70 points from 44 matches. The record of 20 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 64:60 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Oliver McBurnie (15 goals), J. Gelhardt (14 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals), with creative support from R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with D. Gyabi, T. Collyer, C. Drameh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Charlton won 4 times, Hull City won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Charlton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Charlton 3-5-2 / Hull City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Charlton 4, Hull City 3
H2H summary: Charlton wins 4, draws 3, Hull City wins 3
Stats
Charlton Charlton
Hull City Hull City
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
5 Corner Kicks 11
10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 6
5 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
261 Total passes 397
167 Passes accurate 302
1.11 expected_goals 0.94
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Charlton
Formation
Hull City
T. Kaminski
T. Kaminski
H. Clarke
H. Clarke
C. Sichenje
C. Sichenje
L. Jones
L. Jones
M. Gillesphey
M. Gillesphey
J. Fevrier
J. Fevrier
H. Knibbs
H. Knibbs
C. Coady
🎯
C. Coady
G. Docherty
G. Docherty
S. Carey
S. Carey
C. Kelman
C. Kelman
I. Pandur
I. Pandur
L. Coyle
L. Coyle
S. Ajayi
S. Ajayi
J. Egan
J. Egan
R. Giles
R. Giles
E. Matazo
E. Matazo
J. Lundstram
J. Lundstram
J. Gelhardt
J. Gelhardt
M. Crooks
M. Crooks
L. Millar
L. Millar
O. McBurnie
O. McBurnie
Charlton 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
T. Kaminski
🟨 45+6'
G
44
H. Clarke
D
28
C. Sichenje
↓ 28' 🟨 2'
D
5
L. Jones
D
3
M. Gillesphey
D
77
J. Fevrier
⚽ 68'
D
41
H. Knibbs
↓ 63'
M
15
C. Coady
🎯 20'
M
10
G. Docherty
M
14
S. Carey
↓ 63'
M
23
C. Kelman
⚽ 20' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
25
W. Mannion
G
8
L. Berry
M
99
L. Dykes
↑ 83'
F
7
T. Campbell
↑ 63'
11
M. Leaburn
F
32
R. Burke
↑ 28'
D
6
C. Coventry
M
26
J. Rankin-Costello
M
19
L. Chambers
↑ 63'
D
Hull City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
I. Pandur
G
2
L. Coyle
🟨 34'
D
6
S. Ajayi
↓ 46'
D
15
J. Egan
⚽ 45'
D
3
R. Giles
↓ 79'
D
8
E. Matazo
↓ 11'
M
5
J. Lundstram
M
21
J. Gelhardt
↓ 69'
M
25
M. Crooks
M
7
L. Millar
↓ 70'
M
9
O. McBurnie
F
Substitutes
12
D. Phillips
G
37
P. McNair
🎯 45' ↑ 11'
D
10
M. Belloumi
↑ 46'
F
4
C. Hughes
D
26
K. Dowell
M
23
A. Famewo
D
27
R. Slater
↑ 69'
M
22
K. Joseph
↑ 70'
F
36
L. Koumas
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Charlton
02.05.26
Cha
Charlton
Swansea
1
3
L
22.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Preston
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Watford
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Bristol City
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Norwich
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Oxford United
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Birmingham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Charlton
West Brom
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Southampton
1
1
D
17.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
3
L
11.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Stoke City
1
0
W
06.02.26
Cha
Charlton
QPR
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Leicester
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Millwall
0
4
L
20.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Derby
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
Last matches: Hull City
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
11.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
2
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Leicester
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Oxford United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
0
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
03.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
21.02.26
Cha
Hull City
QPR
1
3
L
13.02.26
FA
Hull City
Chelsea
0
4
L
07.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Bristol City
2
3
L
03.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
H2H: Charlton vs Hull City
25.04.26
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Hull City
Charlton
1
1
D
09.05.21
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
1
0
W
02.01.21
H2H
Hull City
Charlton
2
0
L
20.06.20
H2H
Hull City
Charlton
0
1
W
13.12.19
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
2
D
16.01.16
H2H
Hull City
Charlton
6
0
L
22.08.15
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
W
16.02.13
H2H
Hull City
Charlton
1
0
L
25.08.12
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
0
0
D
Last matches: Charlton
22.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Ipswich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Preston
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Charlton
Bristol City
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Norwich
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Charlton
Birmingham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Wrexham
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Portsmouth
1
3
L
11.02.26
Cha
Charlton
Stoke City
1
0
W
06.02.26
Cha
Charlton
QPR
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Derby
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Charlton
Chelsea
1
5
L
01.01.26
Cha
Charlton
Coventry
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cha
Charlton
Oxford United
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Charlton
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Charlton
Southampton
1
5
L
04.11.25
Cha
Charlton
West Brom
1
0
W
01.11.25
Cha
Charlton
Swansea
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
27.09.25
Cha
Charlton
Blackburn
3
0
W
H2H at home: Charlton
25.04.26
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
W
09.05.21
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
1
0
W
13.12.19
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
2
D
22.08.15
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
W
25.08.12
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
0
0
D
Last matches: Hull City
11.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Leicester
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Oxford United
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
0
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
1
W
03.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Blackburn
1
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Preston
3
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Southampton
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
2
D
13.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Stoke City
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Hull City
QPR
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Derby
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Norwich
2
0
W
18.10.25
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
3
2
W
27.09.25
Cha
Hull City
Watford
1
2
L
H2H away: Hull City
25.04.26
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
L
09.05.21
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
1
0
L
13.12.19
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
2
D
22.08.15
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
2
1
L
25.08.12
H2H
Charlton
Hull City
0
0
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Charlton 4 missing
-
J. Edwards
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
K. Ramsay
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
A. Bell
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
T. Campbell
Questionable Injury
OUT
Hull City 3 missing
-
D. Gyabi
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
T. Collyer
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
C. Drameh
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT