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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
15.08.2026 14:00
Charlton
FT
2 - 1
Derby
The Valley
Referee: Benjamin Speedie, England
Charlton
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
S. Szmodics · Assist: C. Morris
Derby
🔄
54'
S. Szmodics ↔ A. Mowatt
Derby
🔄
59'
M. Godden ↔ M. Leaburn
Charlton
🔄
59'
S. Carey ↔ M. Alli
Charlton
🟨
60'
Sondre Langås
Derby
⚽
61'
L. Jones · Assist: K. Grant
Charlton
🔄
73'
K. Grant ↔ J. Rankin-Costello
Charlton
⚽
80'
T. Campbell
Charlton
🔄
83'
O. Fraulo ↔ C. Blackett-Taylor
Derby
🔄
83'
C. Forsyth ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
84'
J. Ward ↔ M. Johnston
Derby
🔄
84'
L. Travis ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
85'
D. McNamara ↔ I. Mesik
Charlton
🔄
85'
N. Chalobah ↔ C. Sichenje
Charlton
🟨
90+8'
Rhian Brewster
Derby
🟨
90'
Alex Mowatt
Derby

Charlton vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charlton Win 25.6%
Draw 6.9%
Derby Win 67.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlton1.03
Derby1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlton Charlton
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
1
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlton Charlton 6 matches
Derby Derby 6 matches
Charlton Statistic Derby
3 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
5 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 8
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
1 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charlton won 5 times, Derby won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Charlton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Charlton 4-2-3-1 / Derby 5-3-2
Missing players: Charlton 4, Derby 5
H2H summary: Charlton wins 5, draws 2, Derby wins 8

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Swansea
10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2
Middlesbrough
10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3
Birmingham
10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4
West Brom
10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5
West Ham
9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6
Stoke City
10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7
Blackburn
10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8
QPR
9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9
Wolves
9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10
Millwall
10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11
Bristol City
10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12
Charlton Home
10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13
Southampton
9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14
Bolton
10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15
Sheffield Utd
9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16
Wrexham
10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17
Lincoln
9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18
Cardiff
10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19
Norwich
9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20
Portsmouth
8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21
Burnley
10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22
Watford
10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23
Derby Away
9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24
Preston
10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One