18.04.2026 16:15
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Referee: B. Van Driessche
Charleroi
Match Timeline
Standard Liege
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
M. Ilaimaharitra ↔ I. Karamoko
Standard Liege
🟨
48'
Aiham Ousou
Charleroi
🟨
54'
Etienne Camara
Charleroi
🔄
60'
A. Colassin ↔ A. Scheidler
Charleroi
⚽
62'
A. Bernier · Assist: P. Pflucke
Charleroi
🔄
67'
R. Said ↔ B. Nguene
Standard Liege
🔄
67'
D. Eckert Ayensa ↔ T. Nkada
Standard Liege
⚽
68'
B. Nguene · Assist: A. Abid
Standard Liege
🔄
70'
E. Camara ↔ Y. Khalifi
Charleroi
🟨
76'
Lewin Blum
Charleroi
🔄
84'
P. Pflucke ↔ J. Romsaas
Charleroi
🔄
84'
L. Blum ↔ Y. Cisse
Charleroi
🔄
87'
G. Mortensen ↔ T. Mohr
Standard Liege
🟨
90+5'
Casper Nielsen
Standard Liege
⚽
90'
T. Mohr
Standard Liege

Charleroi vs Standard Liege Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charleroi Win 31.3%
Draw 9.9%
Standard Liege Win 58.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charleroi1.2
Standard Liege1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charleroi Charleroi
WWDLW
41 GF / 47 GA
Standard Liege Standard Liege
WLDWL
31 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
19
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
13
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi Charleroi 34 matches
Standard Liege Standard Liege 32 matches
Charleroi Statistic Standard Liege
10 Wins 12
8 Draws 7
16 Losses 13
41 Goals For 31
47 Goals Against 38
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
19 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 12
4.18 Shots On Goal 3.25
12.24 Total Shots 9.53
5.26 Corners 4.13
46.6% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Standard Liege. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Charleroi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charleroi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Standard Liege in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Standard Liege having the stronger overall control.

Charleroi Analysis

Charleroi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 20 points from 32 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 40:45, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Guiagon (8 goals), A. Bernier (4 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Standard Liege Analysis

Standard Liege arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 23 points after 32 matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 31:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), R. Said (5 goals), M. Ilaimaharitra (3 goals), with creative support from R. Said (3 assists), A. Abid (3 assists), T. Henry (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 5 times, Standard Liege won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Charleroi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Charleroi wins 5, draws 4, Standard Liege wins 6

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round