Charleroi vs Standard Liege Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
57.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.5%
|
- |
Charleroi
Standard Liege
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Charleroi
34 matches
Standard Liege
32 matches
| Charleroi | Statistic | Standard Liege |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 13 |
| 41 | Goals For | 31 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.25 |
| 12.24 | Total Shots | 9.53 |
| 5.26 | Corners | 4.13 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 44.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Standard Liege. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Charleroi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charleroi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Standard Liege in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Standard Liege having the stronger overall control.
Charleroi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 20 points from 32 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 40:45, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Guiagon (8 goals), A. Bernier (4 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standard Liege arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 23 points after 32 matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 31:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), R. Said (5 goals), M. Ilaimaharitra (3 goals), with creative support from R. Said (3 assists), A. Abid (3 assists), T. Henry (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 5 times, Standard Liege won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Charleroi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Standard Liege
Away
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Charleroi
Home
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
L
|