Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
88.3%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.00 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.5%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chapecoense-sc
21 matches
Vasco DA Gama
20 matches
| Chapecoense-sc | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 9 |
| 21 | Goals For | 23 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.3 | Shots On Goal | 5.3 |
| 12.3 | Total Shots | 17.6 |
| 3.7 | Corners | 5.35 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vasco DA Gama. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Vasco DA Gama carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 17 with 20 points while Chapecoense-sc sit 20 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Chapecoense-sc sit 20 with 9 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 17:35 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Walter Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Neto Pessoa (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Walter Clar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vasco DA Gama sit 17 with 20 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Andrés Gómez (3 goals), Puma Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Puma Rodríguez (3 assists), Cuiabano (2 assists), David (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 2 times, Vasco DA Gama won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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