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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.10.2026 18:30
Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors
Match Timeline
Patronato
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
36'
J. Salas ↔ J. Barolin
Patronato
🔄
46'
V. L. Pereyra ↔ S. Piccioni
Patronato
🔄
46'
J. P. Barinaga ↔ B. Bravo
Patronato
🔄
60'
R. Reynaga ↔ T. Attis
Patronato
🟨
63'
F. Meritello
Patronato
🔄
66'
T. Perez ↔ M. Cuero
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
66'
M. Sanabria ↔ F. Cristaldo
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
69'
M. Leyendeker
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
71'
A. Cuello
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
74'
S. Acosta ↔ F. Facello
Chacarita Juniors
🟥
76'
J. Barolin
Patronato
🔄
82'
N. Pantaleone ↔ T. Migliore
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
82'
N. Chaves ↔ L. Alfonzo
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
86'
F. Cristaldo
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
90'
F. Evangelista
Patronato
🟨
90+5'
M. Cuero
Chacarita Juniors
⚽
90'
M. Cuero
Chacarita Juniors

Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chacarita Juniors Win 57.3%
Draw 16%
Patronato Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chacarita Juniors0.84
Patronato0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
WWDLW
23 GF / 33 GA
Patronato Patronato
WLDWL
27 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 31 matches
Patronato Patronato 31 matches
Chacarita Juniors Statistic Patronato
8 Wins 6
6 Draws 16
17 Losses 9
23 Goals For 27
33 Goals Against 31
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patronato. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patronato having the stronger overall control. Chacarita Juniors have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Chacarita Juniors Analysis

Chacarita Juniors approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 30 points from 30 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 22:31, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato sit 16 with 31 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 16 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Chacarita Juniors won 2 times, Patronato won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from Chacarita Juniors's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
H2H summary: Chacarita Juniors wins 2, draws 2, Patronato wins 4

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 33 16 11 6 40:27 13 59
W W L W D
3 33 18 4 11 39:30 9 58
W W W D W
4 33 15 10 8 50:42 8 55
D L D D W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 33 13 10 10 34:30 4 49
D L W L D
7 33 13 9 11 40:32 8 48
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 33 12 10 11 35:33 2 46
D L L W D
10 33 10 13 10 35:33 2 43
L W D L W
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 33 7 16 10 29:32 -3 37
W L W D D
16 33 9 9 15 24:32 -8 36
L L W D L
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 33 5 8 20 23:56 -33 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation