MEXICO LIGA MX
18.08.2026 03:06
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Referee: A. Barba
CF Pachuca
Match Timeline
Puebla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
E. Gomez · Assist: E. Mustre
Puebla
VAR
31'
Juan Pablo Vargas
Puebla
33'
K. Velasco
Puebla
42'
S. Rondon · Assist: C. Sanchez
CF Pachuca
🔄
46'
E. Montiel ↔ R. Pizarro
CF Pachuca
🔄
46'
Kenedy ↔ N. Vallejo
CF Pachuca
VAR
60'
Mauricio Isais
CF Pachuca
63'
S. Rondon
CF Pachuca
🔄
65'
S. Sanabria ↔ A. Ramirez
Puebla
🔄
77'
O. Idrissi ↔ G. Alvarez
CF Pachuca
🔄
83'
C. Sanchez ↔ A. Mozo
CF Pachuca
🔄
83'
S. Rondon ↔ A. Alcaraz
CF Pachuca
🔄
83'
E. Mustre ↔ O. Villa
Puebla
🔄
83'
I. Moreno ↔ Lucas Camilo
Puebla
🔄
83'
E. Gomez ↔ L. Hernandez
Puebla
🔄
87'
B. Garnica ↔ C. Baltazar
Puebla
90'
F. Almada · Assist: L. Hernandez
Puebla

CF Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 53%
Draw 9.9%
Puebla Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.72
Puebla1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Puebla Puebla
WLDWL
11 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
2
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 4 matches
Puebla Puebla 6 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Puebla
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
7 Goals For 11
4 Goals Against 10
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
2 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 4
12.33 Total Shots 10
3.67 Corners 3.67
46.7% Ball Possession 34.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 10 times, Puebla won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:19 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / Puebla 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 10, draws 3, Puebla wins 2

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
3 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
4 7 4 2 1 12:6 6 14
W D W W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
8 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
9 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
10 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
W L D D W
11 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
12 7 3 1 3 9:9 0 10
L D W W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L W D L D
17 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)