🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.04.2026 18:30
Saputo Stadium
Referee: S. Demianchuk
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
New York Red Bulls
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
V. Loturi · Assist: P. Owusu
CF Montreal
🟨
34'
Adri Mehmeti
New York Red Bulls
39'
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
🟨
43'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
New York Red Bulls
🔄
46'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🔄
46'
J. Ruvalcaba ↔ M. Sofo
New York Red Bulls
🔄
46'
J. Marshall-Rutty ↔ J. Mina
New York Red Bulls
48'
M. Longstaff
CF Montreal
53'
M. Longstaff
New York Red Bulls
🔄
58'
N. Streit ↔ M. Opoku
CF Montreal
🔄
65'
A. Mehmeti ↔ N. Benedetti
New York Red Bulls
🟨
71'
Brayan Vera
CF Montreal
🟨
75'
Thomas Gillier
CF Montreal
77'
M. Opoku
CF Montreal
🔄
78'
Ivan Jaime ↔ F. Herbers
CF Montreal
🔄
78'
S. Piette ↔ O. Escobar
CF Montreal
🔄
80'
E. Forsberg ↔ E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York Red Bulls
🟨
83'
Ronald Donkor
New York Red Bulls
🔄
84'
P. Owusu ↔ D. Rios
CF Montreal
🟨
89'
Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.4%
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 0%
Draw 0%
New York Red Bulls Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.76
New York Red Bulls2.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
18 GF / 30 GA
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.85
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.15
7
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
6.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 matches
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 matches
CF Montreal Statistic New York Red Bulls
3 Wins 5
0 Draws 2
9 Losses 6
18 Goals For 24
30 Goals Against 28
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.15
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 6.43
11.57 Total Shots 15.57
4 Corners 7.14
50.4% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New York Red Bulls. New York Red Bulls carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 11 points while CF Montreal sit 15 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward New York Red Bulls having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CF Montreal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

CF Montreal Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 15, CF Montreal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 8:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Owusu (4 goals), W. Carmona (3 goals), Iván Jaime (1 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (1 assists), W. Carmona (1 assists), Iván Jaime (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with S. Ibrahim, B. Hidalgo, J. Nteziryayo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

From their first 7 matches, New York Red Bulls have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hall (5 goals), K. Smith (2 goals), A. Mehmeti (1 goals), with creative support from J. Hall (2 assists), A. Mehmeti (2 assists), E. Forsberg (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Che, A. Marcucci, C. Harper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 7 times, New York Red Bulls won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from CF Montreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-2-3-1 / New York Red Bulls -
Missing players: CF Montreal 5, New York Red Bulls 3
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 7, draws 2, New York Red Bulls wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 4 2 47:17 30 52
W W W W D
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W L L
5 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
6 22 8 7 7 49:51 -2 31
L D W D W
7 22 7 7 8 36:31 5 28
D D L L D
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 7 4 11 37:54 -17 25
D W L D L
10 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
11 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 22 5 5 12 31:39 -8 20
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)