🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
22.08.2026 23:30
Saputo Stadium
Referee: L. Hernandez
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
D. Rios
CF Montreal
19'
R. Ramos
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
46'
B. Vera ↔ B. Craig
CF Montreal
48'
M. Yoshida · Assist: J. Paintsil
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
61'
D. Bugaj ↔ B. Ceballos
CF Montreal
🔄
62'
D. Pereira ↔ A. Sanchez
CF Montreal
🔄
62'
N. Streit ↔ F. Herbers
CF Montreal
🔄
62'
R. Ramos ↔ E. Thommy
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
62'
J. Paintsil ↔ H. Lozano
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
67'
Brandan Craig
CF Montreal
🟥
68'
JT Marcinkowski
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
72'
J. Nelson ↔ N. Micovic
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
72'
I. Parente ↔ J. Aude
Los Angeles Galaxy
79'
P. Owusu · Assist: L. Petrasso
CF Montreal
🔄
81'
J. Neal ↔ O. Escobar
CF Montreal
🔄
82'
R. Taylor ↔ C. Garces
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
90+1'
Brayan Ceballos
CF Montreal

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.4%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 26.3%
Draw 7.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 66.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.44
Los Angeles Galaxy1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
37 GF / 48 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
50 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
14
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
21
4.9
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 25 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 35 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
7 Wins 13
5 Draws 10
13 Losses 12
37 Goals For 50
48 Goals Against 48
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
14 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 29
17 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 6
4.9 Shots On Goal 5
13.45 Total Shots 12.82
5.1 Corners 5.21
48.1% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Los Angeles Galaxy.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 14 with 16 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Los Angeles Galaxy have collected 22 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 24:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Pec (4 goals), Joseph Paintsil (4 goals), Marco Reus (3 goals), with creative support from Marco Reus (3 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), Joseph Paintsil (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 1 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from CF Montreal's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
Missing players: CF Montreal 4, Los Angeles Galaxy 4
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 1, draws 4, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)