🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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Saputo Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 23.4%
Draw 6.6%
DC United Win 70%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.52
DC United1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
34 GF / 46 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
27 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.29
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
12
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 23 matches
DC United DC United 21 matches
CF Montreal Statistic DC United
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 10
13 Losses 6
34 Goals For 27
46 Goals Against 33
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
12 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 14
16 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 7
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.56
13.06 Total Shots 12.5
5.22 Corners 4.94
47.6% Ball Possession 39.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CF Montreal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring DC United.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 14 with 16 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

DC United Analysis

So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 23 points from 18 matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 26:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Tai Baribo (7 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (4 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 5 times, DC United won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from CF Montreal's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / DC United 4-4-2
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 5, draws 5, DC United wins 5
Last matches: CF Montreal
01.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
4
2
W
Last matches: DC United
01.08.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
DC United
Toronto FC
2
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
DC United
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Maj
DC United
CF Montreal
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
DC United
St. Louis City
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
DC United
Orlando City SC
3
2
W
22.04.26
Maj
DC United
New York Red Bulls
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
DC United
FC Dallas
0
4
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
DC United
Inter Miami
1
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
DC United
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
H2H: CF Montreal vs DC United
23.05.26
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
4
4
D
16.08.25
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
1
D
15.03.25
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
0
0
D
29.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
4
2
W
30.03.24
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
1
0
L
26.07.23
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
1
L
31.05.23
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
2
2
D
15.04.23
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
1
L
01.10.22
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
0
W
24.07.22
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
1
2
W
09.08.21
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
2
1
L
24.06.21
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
0
D
08.11.20
H2H
DC United
CF Montreal
2
3
W
22.07.20
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
0
W
31.08.19
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
3
L
Last matches: CF Montreal
01.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
H2H at home: CF Montreal
16.08.25
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
1
D
29.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
4
2
W
26.07.23
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
1
L
01.10.22
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
0
W
24.06.21
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
0
D
22.07.20
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
0
W
31.08.19
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
3
L
Last matches: DC United
23.07.26
Maj
DC United
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
DC United
New York Red Bulls
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
4
L
H2H away: DC United
16.08.25
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
1
D
29.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
4
2
L
26.07.23
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
1
W
15.04.23
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
1
W
01.10.22
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
0
L
24.06.21
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
0
D
22.07.20
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
1
0
L
31.08.19
H2H
CF Montreal
DC United
0
3
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 4 2 35:14 21 40
D L W W W
2 18 11 5 2 45:32 13 38
D W W W W
3 17 9 3 5 28:21 7 30
D W D L W
4 17 9 2 6 32:23 9 29
W L L W W
5 18 7 5 6 31:24 7 26
D W W L D
6 18 7 5 6 45:44 1 26
W L W W D
7 18 7 4 7 29:27 2 25
L W D W W
8 18 7 4 7 29:39 -10 25
W L L W D
9 18 5 8 5 26:29 -3 23
D W D D D
10 18 6 2 10 30:47 -17 20
L W W L D
11 18 5 5 8 26:28 -2 20
D W L W D
12 18 3 8 7 24:32 -8 17
D L D D L
13 18 4 4 10 25:33 -8 16
W W W L D
14 18 4 4 10 24:35 -11 16
D L L D D
15 18 3 3 12 19:33 -14 12
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)