Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Racing Montevideo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro0.95
Racing Montevideo1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro
WWDLW
27 GF / 23 GA
Racing Montevideo
WLDWL
34 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.52
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
22 matches
Racing Montevideo
23 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 15 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 27 | Goals For | 34 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.52 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 6 times, Racing Montevideo won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Cerro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cerro 4-3-3 / Racing Montevideo 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Cerro wins 6, draws 4, Racing Montevideo wins 5
Last matches: Cerro
21.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
0
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
2
1
W
09.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
1
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
23.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
H2H: Cerro vs Racing Montevideo
26.07.26
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
L
15.01.26
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
2
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
08.02.25
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
19.04.24
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
07.12.23
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
W
25.06.23
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
15.05.23
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
28.08.22
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
05.06.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
L
14.10.21
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
30.06.21
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
0
D
14.09.19
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
Last matches: Cerro
15.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Miramar
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cerro
26.07.26
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
20.10.24
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
15.05.23
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
28.08.22
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.10.21
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
14.09.19
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
23.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
10.08.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
3
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
07.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
11.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
CA River Plate
3
2
W
07.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
24.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
10.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
2
1
W
25.09.22
Seg
Racing Montevideo
Villa Espanola
2
1
W
H2H away: Racing Montevideo
26.07.26
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W
20.10.24
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W
15.05.23
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
28.08.22
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.10.21
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L
14.09.19
H2H
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
L