Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.7%
|
1.81 | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.53 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.91 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
5.00 |
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
20 matches
Racing Montevideo
20 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 2 |
| 12 | Goals For | 26 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cerro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 38 points while Cerro sit 15 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Racing Montevideo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Cerro sit 15 with 16 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 12:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Racing Montevideo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 38 points after 20 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 26:16 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 5 times, Racing Montevideo won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Cerro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Lineups
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Miramar
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
CA River Plate
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Villa Espanola
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
La Luz
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Montevideo
Away
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Cerro
Home
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
W
|