Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
La Luz Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro0.7
La Luz1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
La Luz
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
4 matches
La Luz
4 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 4 | Goals For | 6 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.25 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 3 times, La Luz won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Cerro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cerro 4-3-3 / La Luz -
H2H summary: Cerro wins 3, draws 1, La Luz wins 1
Last matches: Cerro
21.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
0
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
2
1
W
09.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
1
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
Last matches: La Luz
23.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
2
L
16.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
01.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Rentistas
2
5
L
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
13.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
21.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
2
0
W
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
06.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Paysandu
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
09.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
11.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
2
1
W
28.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
H2H: Cerro vs La Luz
11.11.23
H2H
La Luz
Cerro
1
2
W
02.04.23
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
La Luz
Cerro
0
1
W
17.08.22
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
3
0
W
17.04.22
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
1
2
L
Last matches: Cerro
15.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Miramar
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cerro
02.04.23
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
0
0
D
17.08.22
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
3
0
W
17.04.22
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
1
2
L
Last matches: La Luz
16.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
17.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
11.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
27.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
2
0
W
13.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
3
2
W
30.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Artigas
1
1
D
16.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
1
L
26.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
2
2
D
13.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Albion FC
0
3
L
H2H away: La Luz
02.04.23
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
0
0
D
17.08.22
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
3
0
L
17.04.22
H2H
Cerro
La Luz
1
2
W