Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Defensor Sporting Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro1.09
Defensor Sporting1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro
WWDLW
26 GF / 20 GA
Defensor Sporting
WLDWL
33 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
12
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
22 matches
Defensor Sporting
22 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 33 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 3 times, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Cerro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cerro 4-3-3 / Defensor Sporting 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Cerro wins 3, draws 6, Defensor Sporting wins 6
Last matches: Cerro
21.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
0
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
2
1
W
09.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
1
0
W
03.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
22.08.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
16.08.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
4
L
09.08.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
0
1
L
03.08.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
H2H: Cerro vs Defensor Sporting
03.08.26
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
L
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
L
14.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
3
2
L
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
5
0
L
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
W
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
23.09.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
0
L
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
27.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro
15.08.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Miramar
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cerro
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
22.08.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
1
1
D
02.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
2
W
11.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
29.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Miramar
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
17.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
H2H away: Defensor Sporting
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
W
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D