Cerro
Match Timeline
Defensor Sporting
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Defensor Sporting Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro0.84
Defensor Sporting0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro
WWDLW
8 GF / 12 GA
Defensor Sporting
WLDWL
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
10 matches
Defensor Sporting
10 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 8 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 3 times, Defensor Sporting won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Cerro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cerro 4-1-4-1 / Defensor Sporting 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cerro wins 3, draws 7, Defensor Sporting wins 5
Lineups
Cerro
Formation
Defensor Sporting
R. Bacchia
I. Valenzuela
N. Fuica
A. Macelli
M. Suarez
E. Sosa
I. Neira
S. Caceres
S. Paiva
E. Larrosa
M. Ocampo
K. Dawson
N. Furtado
G. De los Santos
J. Viacava
P. Pacifico
L. de los Santos
G. Barrios
L. Agazzi
N. Wunsch
J. Alvarez
A. Machado
Cerro
2-5-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
25
R. Bacchia
G
24
I. Valenzuela
28
N. Fuica
D
7
A. Macelli
M
43
M. Suarez
D
14
E. Sosa
M
30
I. Neira
M
🟨 90+1'
32
S. Caceres
M
↓ 75'
29
S. Paiva
F
↓ 75'
9
E. Larrosa
F
↓ 89'
10
M. Ocampo
M
↓ 57'
Substitutes
1
M. Cubero
G
2
H. Salaberry
D
3
F. Iraola
23
M. Farias
D
↑ 89'
8
A. Miranda
M
↑ 75'
22
F. Acosta
M
31
B. Morales
F
↑ 75'
19
J. Alvarez
M
⚽ 76'
↑ 57'
21
M. Nichele
F
27
S. Camacho
F
Defensor Sporting
6-3-1
(estimated)
Starting XI
12
K. Dawson
G
13
N. Furtado
D
3
G. De los Santos
D
15
J. Viacava
D
14
P. Pacifico
D
24
L. de los Santos
M
5
G. Barrios
M
🟨 63'
11
L. Agazzi
D
↓ 86'
8
N. Wunsch
M
↓ 61'
16
J. Alvarez
D
↓ 46'
9
A. Machado
F
↓ 81'
Substitutes
1
L. Machado
G
4
G. Rodriguez
61
M. Saravia
D
7
B. Lozano
M
↑ 61'
🟨 83'
10
X. Biscayzacu
M
↑ 86'
18
N. Sena
20
L. Konig
19
D. Abreu
F
↑ 81'
28
L. Navarro
F
↑ 46'
90
A. Cambon
F
Last matches: Cerro
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
25.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
H2H: Cerro vs Defensor Sporting
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
L
14.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
3
2
L
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
5
0
L
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
W
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
23.09.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
0
L
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
27.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
10.11.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Miramar
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
22.10.22
Seg
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
0
0
D
08.10.22
Seg
Cerro
Miramar
1
3
L
H2H at home: Cerro
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
1
1
D
02.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
2
W
29.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Miramar
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
17.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
0
4
L
09.12.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
H2H away: Defensor Sporting
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
W
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
Standings
Primera Division 2025, Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Cerro
Home
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
Away
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Playoffs