11.10.2025 23:30
Referee: Andres Matonte, Uruguay
Cerro
Match Timeline
Defensor Sporting
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Alvarez ↔ L. Navarro
Defensor Sporting
🔄
57'
M. Ocampo ↔ J. Alvarez
Cerro
🔄
61'
N. Wunsch ↔ B. Lozano
Defensor Sporting
🟨
63'
G. Barrios
Defensor Sporting
🔄
75'
S. Caceres ↔ A. Miranda
Cerro
🔄
75'
S. Paiva ↔ B. Morales
Cerro
76'
J. Alvarez
Cerro
🔄
81'
A. Machado ↔ D. Abreu
Defensor Sporting
🟨
83'
B. Lozano
Defensor Sporting
🔄
86'
L. Agazzi ↔ X. Biscayzacu
Defensor Sporting
🔄
89'
E. Larrosa ↔ M. Farias
Cerro
🟨
90+1'
I. Neira
Cerro

Cerro vs Defensor Sporting Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Defensor Sporting Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro0.84
Defensor Sporting0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Cerro
WWDLW
8 GF / 12 GA
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
WLDWL
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Cerro 10 matches
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 10 matches
Cerro Statistic Defensor Sporting
4 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 3
8 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 9
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 3 times, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Cerro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cerro 4-3-3 / Defensor Sporting 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cerro wins 3, draws 6, Defensor Sporting wins 6

Standings

Primera Division 2025, Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 30:12 18 35
L D W W W
2 15 8 6 1 25:11 14 27
W D D D D
3 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
L W W L D
4 15 6 8 1 26:10 16 26
D D W D D
5 15 7 4 4 19:14 5 25
W W D D D
6 15 7 4 4 19:16 3 25
L L L W W
7
Cerro Home
15 7 3 5 13:13 0 24
D D W W W
8 15 7 2 6 13:16 -3 23
D L L W L
9 15 6 3 6 18:13 5 21
W W L D D
10 15 5 3 7 17:23 -6 18
D L L L W
11 15 4 5 6 14:22 -8 17
W L D D D
12 15 4 4 7 8:13 -5 16
D W L D L
13 15 3 5 7 12:18 -6 14
W D W D W
14 15 3 4 8 17:26 -9 13
L D L L D
15 15 2 2 11 9:26 -17 8
L L W L L
16 15 1 4 10 7:25 -18 7
L D D L D
Playoffs