Cerro Largo vs Progreso H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsCerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
75.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Largo
35 matches
Progreso
35 matches
| Cerro Largo | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 16 | Losses | 20 |
| 33 | Goals For | 31 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 1.57 | Shots On Goal | 2.57 |
| 4.71 | Total Shots | 5.43 |
| 2.71 | Corners | 2.71 |
| 38.4% | Ball Possession | 32.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Progreso in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Progreso having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Progreso. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Cerro Largo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Cerro Largo sit 12 with 37 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 33:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 35 points from 35 games and a place of 15, Progreso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 31:49 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
Home
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Progreso
Away
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|