URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Cerrito
Match Timeline
Oriental
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
55'
L. Batista
Cerrito
86'
M. Rigoleto
Oriental

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds 2.59
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
2.59
BTTS No
55%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.70
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.20
Correct Score 1-0
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Cerrito Win 61.8%
Draw 8.4%
Oriental Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerrito1.2
Oriental1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerrito Cerrito
WWDLW
24 GF / 23 GA
Oriental Oriental
WLDWL
25 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
10
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerrito Cerrito 19 matches
Oriental Oriental 20 matches
Cerrito Statistic Oriental
7 Wins 7
8 Draws 7
4 Losses 6
24 Goals For 25
23 Goals Against 22
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
10 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Oriental's more proactive style and Cerrito's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oriental. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oriental having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Oriental carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Cerrito sit 8 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Cerrito Analysis

So far, Cerrito have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oriental Analysis

Oriental approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 8:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito won 6 times, Oriental won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Cerrito's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: Cerrito wins 6, draws 2, Oriental wins 3
Last matches: Cerrito
08.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
0
1
L
02.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
1
D
18.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Rentistas
0
0
D
12.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
21.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
CA River Plate
4
6
L
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Paysandu
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
10.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
2
D
25.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
26.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
0
1
L
Last matches: Oriental
09.08.26
Seg
Oriental
Atenas
0
1
L
03.08.26
Seg
Oriental
Paysandu
1
2
L
18.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
1
0
W
12.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
2
2
D
13.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
3
0
W
08.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
2
D
01.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
22.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
1
3
L
17.05.26
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
2
2
D
02.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
20.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Paysandu
1
0
W
23.03.26
Seg
Oriental
Colón
0
0
D
14.03.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
3
1
W
H2H: Cerrito vs Oriental
10.05.26
H2H
Oriental
Cerrito
2
2
D
12.10.25
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
21.07.25
H2H
Oriental
Cerrito
1
1
D
03.11.24
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
3
1
W
13.07.24
H2H
Oriental
Cerrito
2
1
L
29.11.23
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Oriental
Cerrito
2
0
L
01.09.18
H2H
Oriental
Cerrito
0
1
W
07.04.18
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
1
W
18.11.17
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
1
0
W
01.07.17
H2H
Oriental
Cerrito
1
2
W
Last matches: Cerrito
02.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
1
D
12.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
19.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
12.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
05.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
22.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
2
2
D
06.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
0
3
L
31.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Central Espanol
0
1
L
24.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
16.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
1
0
W
02.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
1
2
L
05.07.25
Seg
Cerrito
Albion FC
1
0
W
21.06.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
31.05.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cerrito
12.10.25
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
03.11.24
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
3
1
W
29.11.23
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
1
W
07.04.18
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
1
W
18.11.17
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
1
0
W
Last matches: Oriental
03.08.26
Seg
Oriental
Paysandu
1
2
L
12.07.26
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
2
2
D
08.06.26
Seg
Oriental
Miramar
2
2
D
22.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
1
3
L
02.05.26
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
20.04.26
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
2
1
W
14.03.26
Seg
Oriental
CA River Plate
3
1
W
18.10.25
Seg
Oriental
La Luz
1
1
D
12.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Cerrito
3
2
W
04.10.25
Seg
Oriental
Colón
0
0
D
14.09.25
Seg
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
4
0
W
30.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Fenix
1
2
L
20.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Atenas
2
1
W
10.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
01.08.25
Seg
Oriental
Rentistas
0
2
L
06.07.25
Seg
Oriental
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
28.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Artigas
2
1
W
15.06.25
Seg
Oriental
Albion FC
0
1
L
H2H away: Oriental
12.10.25
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
W
03.11.24
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
3
1
L
29.11.23
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
1
L
07.04.18
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
2
1
L
18.11.17
H2H
Cerrito
Oriental
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.66
Draw 3.03
Home 2.59
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.84
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 2.75 2.39
Over 3.0 2.97
Under 1.5 3.11
Under 1.75 2.73
Under 2.0 2.37
Under 2.25 1.95
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.61
Draw 3.00
Home 2.52
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.38
Draw 1.93
Home 3.22
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.96
Draw 2.31
Home 2.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.17
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.78
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.83
Over 3.25 3.20
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 3.75 4.30
Over 4.0 6.40
Over 4.25 5.56
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 17.00
Under 0.5 7.70
Under 1.0 7.00
Under 1.25 4.05
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 1.75 2.66
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.91
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.33
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.15
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D