URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Cerrito
Live Timeline
Miramar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
Cerrito
Cerrito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds 2.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.82
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
2.16
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.82
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Cerrito Win 54.2%
Draw 3.7%
Miramar Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerrito1.36
Miramar1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerrito Cerrito
WWDLW
22 GF / 21 GA
Miramar Miramar
WLDWL
17 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
9
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerrito Cerrito 15 matches
Miramar Miramar 15 matches
Cerrito Statistic Miramar
6 Wins 4
6 Draws 6
3 Losses 5
22 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 18
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Miramar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Miramar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cerrito Analysis

Cerrito arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 15 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 14:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Miramar Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Miramar have collected 13 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 14:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito won 2 times, Miramar won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Cerrito's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Cerrito wins 2, draws 7, Miramar wins 3
Last matches: Cerrito
05.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
21.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
CA River Plate
4
6
L
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Paysandu
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
10.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
2
D
25.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
26.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
0
1
L
19.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
12.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
05.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
27.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Albion FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Miramar
06.07.26
Seg
Miramar
Atenas
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
19.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
08.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
2
2
D
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
25.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Fenix
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
10.05.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
06.04.26
Seg
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
0
W
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
22.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Miramar
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Boston River
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Club Nacional
1
3
L
11.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Penarol
2
2
D
H2H: Cerrito vs Miramar
04.11.23
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
6
L
18.06.23
H2H
Miramar
Cerrito
2
2
D
02.04.23
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
2
2
D
18.08.18
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
1
D
24.03.18
H2H
Miramar
Cerrito
1
1
D
13.09.17
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
29.04.17
H2H
Miramar
Cerrito
3
0
L
02.12.16
H2H
Miramar
Cerrito
0
0
D
07.03.15
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
0
0
D
13.09.14
H2H
Miramar
Cerrito
1
1
D
08.06.13
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
3
L
10.03.13
H2H
Miramar
Cerrito
0
1
W
Last matches: Cerrito
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
19.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
12.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
05.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
22.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
2
2
D
06.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
0
3
L
31.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Central Espanol
0
1
L
24.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
16.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
1
0
W
02.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
1
2
L
05.07.25
Seg
Cerrito
Albion FC
1
0
W
21.06.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
31.05.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
2
L
17.05.25
Seg
Cerrito
Artigas
0
2
L
27.04.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rentistas
1
0
W
H2H at home: Cerrito
04.11.23
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
6
L
02.04.23
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
2
2
D
18.08.18
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
1
D
13.09.17
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
07.03.15
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
0
0
D
08.06.13
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
3
L
Last matches: Miramar
27.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
3
2
W
13.06.26
Seg
Miramar
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Colón
3
1
W
17.05.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
0
1
L
29.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Rentistas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Miramar
Oriental
1
2
L
27.03.26
Seg
Miramar
Paysandu
0
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Miramar
CA River Plate
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Club Nacional
1
3
L
03.10.25
Pri
Miramar
Atletico Torque
0
3
L
21.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Cerro
0
1
L
07.09.25
Pri
Miramar
Progreso
2
3
L
31.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Danubio
3
2
W
16.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Juventud
1
2
L
03.08.25
Pri
Miramar
Plaza Colonia
3
1
W
03.12.23
Seg
Miramar
Albion FC
2
0
W
26.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Juventud
1
0
W
15.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Rampla Juniors
0
0
D
04.11.23
Seg
Miramar
Cerrito
6
1
W
20.10.23
Seg
Miramar
Bella Vista
1
0
W
H2H away: Miramar
04.11.23
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
6
W
02.04.23
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
2
2
D
18.08.18
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
1
D
13.09.17
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
L
07.03.15
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
0
0
D
08.06.13
H2H
Cerrito
Miramar
1
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.15
Home 2.16
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.64
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 2.75 2.56
Over 3.0 3.27
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 1.75 2.53
Under 2.0 2.19
Under 2.25 1.85
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.46
Under 3.0 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.20
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.10
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.70
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.16
Draw 3.16
Home 2.13
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.98
Draw 1.99
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.61
Draw 2.31
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.17
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.39
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.82
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 2.75 2.35
Over 3.0 2.97
Over 3.25 3.34
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 3.75 4.41
Over 4.0 6.85
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 0.5 7.70
Under 1.0 7.20
Under 1.25 4.00
Under 1.5 2.92
Under 1.75 2.59
Under 2.0 2.21
Under 2.25 1.86
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 2.75 1.47
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.24
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 3.05
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.08
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.38
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.45
Over 4.5 6.40
Under 1.5 2.95
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.23
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Segunda Division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 17:8 9 19
D W W W L
2 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
W W D L W
3 9 4 3 2 14:13 1 15
D W L L W
4 10 4 3 3 10:9 1 15
W W D W D
5 9 4 2 3 8:8 0 14
D L W L W
6 9 3 4 2 14:11 3 13
W L D D W
7 9 3 4 2 14:11 3 13
D W L W D
8 10 4 1 5 10:11 -1 13
L W L L W
9 10 3 3 4 8:12 -4 12
L L L W W
10 9 2 5 2 14:12 2 11
L D D W D
11 9 3 2 4 8:12 -4 11
L W W L L
12 9 2 4 3 6:8 -2 10
L D W L L
13 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
W L L L W
14 9 2 1 6 9:14 -5 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)