Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
79%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.8%
|
- |
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cercle Brugge
33 matches
Dender
33 matches
| Cercle Brugge | Statistic | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 13 | Losses | 19 |
| 48 | Goals For | 27 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.85 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 14.42 | Total Shots | 10.82 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.67 |
| 47.3% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dender. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cercle Brugge expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Dender in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dender having the stronger overall control. Dender arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Cercle Brugge approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 31 points from 30 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 39:47, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Diop (7 goals), S. Ngoura (7 goals), P. Gerkens (6 goals), with creative support from Gary Magnee (7 assists), Flávio Nazinho (7 assists), S. Ngoura (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Dender sit 16 with 19 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats with a 24:51 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruny Nsimba (8 goals), Aurélien Scheidler (7 goals), R. Kvet (5 goals), with creative support from Bruny Nsimba (4 assists), M. Sambu (4 assists), F. Ferraro (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cercle Brugge won 4 times, Dender won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:2 from Cercle Brugge's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Cercle Brugge
5
3
2
5
2
5
Lineups
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Gent
Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
Genk
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
Dender
Lommel United
Dender
Lommel United
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
Gent
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
Charleroi
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Dender
St. Truiden
Dender
OH Leuven
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Dender
Genk
Dender
Anderlecht
Dender
Antwerp
Dender
KV Mechelen
Dender
Standard Liege
Dender
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
RAAL La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge
Zulte Waregem
Cercle Brugge
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Gent
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
Dender
Lommel United
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
Cercle Brugge
Dender
OH Leuven
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Dender
Anderlecht
Dender
KV Mechelen
Dender
RAAL La Louvière
Dender
Antwerp
Dender
Club Brugge KV
Dender
KVC Westerlo
Dender
Genk
Dender
Gent
Dender
Charleroi
Dender
St. Truiden
Dender
Standard Liege
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53:53 | 0 | 48 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cercle Brugge
Home
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 53:58 | -5 | 41 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 35:50 | -15 | 34 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Dender
Away
|
36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31:62 | -31 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|