Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.8%
|
2.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
34.5%
|
2.58 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.60 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Central Espanol
Progreso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Central Espanol
22 matches
Progreso
22 matches
| Central Espanol | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 14 |
| 27 | Goals For | 18 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Central Espanol's more proactive style and Progreso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Progreso. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Progreso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Progreso having the stronger overall control. Central Espanol arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 33 points compared to Progreso in 16 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
So far, Central Espanol have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 33 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 27:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 16 points from 22 games and a place of 16, Progreso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 18:34 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Central Espanol won 8 times, Progreso won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Central Espanol's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Juventud
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Fenix
Central Espanol
Atenas
Central Espanol
Rentistas
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Uruguay Montevideo
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Rampla Juniors
Central Espanol
Artigas
Central Espanol
Tacuarembo
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
CA River Plate
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59 | 37 | 10 | 12 | 101:53 | 48 | 121 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 59 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 110:62 | 48 | 114 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 59 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 76:60 | 16 | 94 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 59 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 66:55 | 11 | 94 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 34 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Central Espanol
Home
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 59 | 24 | 16 | 19 | 61:58 | 3 | 88 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 59 | 23 | 15 | 21 | 87:78 | 9 | 84 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 59 | 24 | 12 | 23 | 70:72 | -2 | 84 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 59 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 69:69 | 0 | 77 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 59 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 64:65 | -1 | 77 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 59 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 53:72 | -19 | 66 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 59 | 14 | 23 | 22 | 63:71 | -8 | 65 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 59 | 17 | 15 | 27 | 47:76 | -29 | 65 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Progreso
Away
|
59 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 56:94 | -38 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
W
|