URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
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Parque Palermo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
-
BTTS No
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Espanol Win 61%
Draw 4.6%
Liverpool Montevideo Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Espanol1.21
Liverpool Montevideo1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Espanol Central Espanol
WWDLW
27 GF / 26 GA
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
11
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Espanol Central Espanol 21 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 23 matches
Central Espanol Statistic Liverpool Montevideo
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
27 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 25
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 2.33
0 Total Shots 7.67
0 Corners 2.67
0% Ball Possession 37.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Liverpool Montevideo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.

Central Espanol Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Central Espanol have collected 32 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 27:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo sit 9 with 25 points after 20 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 23:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Central Espanol won 1 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Central Espanol's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Central Espanol - / Liverpool Montevideo 5-2-3
H2H summary: Central Espanol wins 1, draws 2, Liverpool Montevideo wins 3
Last matches: Central Espanol
25.07.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
6
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
24.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
2
1
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
25.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
H2H: Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo
24.03.26
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
31.08.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
21.03.15
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
2
W
27.09.14
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
1
L
06.04.13
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
14.10.12
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
Last matches: Central Espanol
25.07.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
2
1
W
18.10.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Fenix
2
1
W
06.10.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Atenas
0
1
L
13.09.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Rentistas
1
0
W
19.08.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
11.08.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
03.08.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
1
D
20.07.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Rampla Juniors
4
1
W
05.07.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Artigas
0
0
D
27.06.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
15.06.25
Seg
Central Espanol
La Luz
0
0
D
H2H at home: Central Espanol
31.08.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
21.03.15
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
2
W
14.10.12
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
25.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
07.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
10.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
1
0
W
23.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Espanola
2
5
L
H2H away: Liverpool Montevideo
31.08.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
W
21.03.15
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
2
L
14.10.12
H2H
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
W

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 4 2 23:14 9 31
L D D D D
2 15 9 2 4 24:16 8 29
L D W W D
3 15 8 4 3 26:16 10 28
L D W L L
4 15 8 3 4 23:16 7 27
W D W L W
5 15 7 3 5 23:22 1 24
L D D W L
6 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
W W L W W
7 15 7 1 7 26:21 5 22
L D W L W
8 15 5 6 4 13:11 2 21
L D D D L
9 15 5 5 5 20:18 2 20
W L D W D
10 15 6 2 7 16:21 -5 20
W W D W D
11 15 4 6 5 17:21 -4 18
L D D D L
12 15 5 2 8 16:19 -3 17
W D D W W
13 15 5 2 8 14:20 -6 17
L D D L L
14 15 4 3 8 17:22 -5 15
W L D L L
15 15 2 4 9 12:23 -11 10
W L L W L
16 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
W W L L W