SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Celtic Park
Referee: D. Robertson
Celtic
Match Timeline
Heart Of Midlothian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Alistair Johnston
Celtic
🟨
38'
Michael Steinwender
Heart Of Midlothian
43'
L. Shankland · Assist: S. Kingsley
Heart Of Midlothian
45'
A. Engels
Celtic
🔄
46'
S. Tounekti ↔ K. Iheanacho
Celtic
🔄
47'
J. Altena ↔ F. Kent
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
51'
B. Baningime ↔ B. Spittal
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
53'
Benjamin Nygren
Celtic
🟨
58'
Auston Trusty
Celtic
🔄
62'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
67'
A. Kyziridis ↔ A. Forrest
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
68'
H. Milne ↔ I. Chesnokov
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
68'
P. Kabore ↔ C. Braga
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
73'
K. Tierney ↔ M. Saracchi
Celtic
🔄
73'
A. Trusty ↔ C. Osmand
Celtic
🟨
77'
Cameron Devlin
Heart Of Midlothian
87'
D. Maeda · Assist: C. Osmand
Celtic
VAR
88'
Callum Osmand
Celtic
🟨
90+7'
Callum McGregor
Celtic
🟨
90+6'
Daizen Maeda
Celtic
🟨
90+4'
Marcelo Saracchi
Celtic
🟨
90+4'
Lawrence Shankland
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
90'
B. Nygren ↔ D. Murray
Celtic
90'
C. Osmand · Assist: C. McGregor
Celtic

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Celtic Win 65.5%
Draw 6.4%
Heart Of Midlothian Win 28.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celtic1.37
Heart Of Midlothian1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celtic Celtic
WWDLW
85 GF / 59 GA
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
WLDWL
66 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
28
BTTS Yes
17
32
Over 2.5
19
5.16
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celtic Celtic 49 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 matches
Celtic Statistic Heart Of Midlothian
29 Wins 24
8 Draws 8
12 Losses 5
85 Goals For 66
59 Goals Against 31
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
28 BTTS Yes 17
39 Over 1.5 26
32 Over 2.5 19
20 Over 3.5 10
16 Clean Sheets 17
9 Failed To Score 4
5.16 Shots On Goal 5.16
14.69 Total Shots 14.38
6.47 Corners 5.57
62.4% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Celtic come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celtic expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Heart Of Midlothian in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Heart Of Midlothian having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Heart Of Midlothian.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 76 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 24 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 67:38 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on B. Nygren (15 goals), D. Maeda (12 goals), Yang Hyun-Jun (8 goals), with creative support from K. Tierney (8 assists), D. Maeda (6 assists), B. Nygren (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Heart Of Midlothian Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 77 points from 36 games, Heart Of Midlothian bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 23 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 63:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Shankland (15 goals), Cláudio Braga (14 goals), P. Kabore (5 goals), with creative support from Alexandros Kyziridis (6 assists), Harry Milne (6 assists), L. Shankland (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celtic won 10 times, Heart Of Midlothian won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:18 from Celtic's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Celtic 4-2-3-1 / Heart Of Midlothian 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Celtic wins 10, draws 1, Heart Of Midlothian wins 4
Stats
Celtic Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
465 Total passes 235
379 Passes accurate 134
2.82 expected_goals 0.96
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Celtic
Formation
Heart Of Midlothian
V. Sinisalo
V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
A. Johnston
A. Trusty
A. Trusty
L. Scales
L. Scales
K. Tierney
K. Tierney
C. McGregor
🎯
C. McGregor
A. Engels
A. Engels
Yang Hyun-Jun
Yang Hyun-Jun
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
S. Tounekti
S. Tounekti
D. Maeda
D. Maeda
A. Schwolow
A. Schwolow
S. Kingsley
🎯
S. Kingsley
M. Steinwender
M. Steinwender
S. Findlay
S. Findlay
H. Milne
H. Milne
A. Kyziridis
A. Kyziridis
C. Devlin
C. Devlin
B. Baningime
B. Baningime
J. Altena
J. Altena
L. Shankland
L. Shankland
P. Kabore
P. Kabore
Celtic 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
V. Sinisalo
G
2
A. Johnston
🟨 35'
D
6
A. Trusty
↓ 73' 🟨 58'
D
5
L. Scales
D
63
K. Tierney
↓ 73'
D
42
C. McGregor
🎯 90' 🟨 90+7'
M
27
A. Engels
⚽ 45'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
↓ 62'
M
8
B. Nygren
↓ 90' 🟨 53'
M
23
S. Tounekti
↓ 46'
M
38
D. Maeda
⚽ 87' 🟨 90+6'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Doohan
G
49
J. Forrest
↑ 62'
M
17
K. Iheanacho
↑ 46'
F
56
A. Ralston
D
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
36
M. Saracchi
↑ 73' 🟨 90+4'
D
14
L. McCowan
M
47
D. Murray
↑ 90'
D
19
C. Osmand
⚽ 90' 🎯 87' ↑ 73'
F
Heart Of Midlothian 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
A. Schwolow
G
3
S. Kingsley
🎯 43'
D
15
M. Steinwender
🟨 38'
D
19
S. Findlay
D
18
H. Milne
↓ 68'
D
89
A. Kyziridis
↓ 67'
M
14
C. Devlin
🟨 77'
M
6
B. Baningime
↓ 51'
M
23
J. Altena
↓ 47'
M
9
L. Shankland
⚽ 43' 🟨 90+4'
F
11
P. Kabore
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
30
R. Fulton
G
29
S. Kerjota
F
99
I. Chesnokov
↑ 68'
M
10
C. Braga
↑ 68'
F
16
B. Spittal
↑ 51'
M
17
A. Forrest
↑ 67'
F
5
J. McCart
D
2
F. Kent
↑ 47'
D
12
C. Borchgrevink
D
Last matches: Celtic
07.07.26
Fri
Celtic
Shelbourne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Utrecht
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
Last matches: Heart Of Midlothian
13.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
4
L
10.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
3
L
21.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
1
W
H2H: Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian
16.05.26
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
25.01.26
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
2
D
07.12.25
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
26.10.25
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
1
4
W
14.09.24
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
W
04.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
0
W
03.03.24
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
0
L
16.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
22.10.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
1
4
W
07.05.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
0
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
0
3
W
08.03.23
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
3
4
W
Last matches: Celtic
10.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
11.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Utrecht
4
2
W
10.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
3
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Celtic
AS Roma
0
3
L
07.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
Celtic
Sturm Graz
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
02.10.25
UEF
Celtic
SC Braga
0
2
L
H2H at home: Celtic
16.05.26
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
W
04.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
0
W
16.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
08.03.23
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
Last matches: Heart Of Midlothian
09.05.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
4
L
03.02.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
2
3
L
13.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
2
0
W
07.12.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Celtic
2
1
W
29.11.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
0
0
D
23.11.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen
0
1
L
29.10.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pre
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee Utd
3
2
W
H2H away: Heart Of Midlothian
16.05.26
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
W
29.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
0
L
14.09.24
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
0
L
16.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
W
08.03.23
H2H
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
L

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round