SPAIN LA LIGA
13.09.2026 12:00

Celta Vigo vs Malaga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.9%
1.17
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.11
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.9%
1.57
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Celta Vigo Win 45.7%
Draw 23.2%
Malaga Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo1.52
Malaga1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Malaga Malaga
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
6
2.4
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 matches
Malaga Malaga 9 matches
Celta Vigo Statistic Malaga
2 Wins 1
6 Draws 5
2 Losses 3
12 Goals For 13
11 Goals Against 18
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
2.4 Shots On Goal 1.75
8.4 Total Shots 10.5
3.8 Corners 5
56.2% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Celta Vigo won 4 times, Malaga won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Celta Vigo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.8%)
Predicted formations: Celta Vigo 3-4-3 / Malaga 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Celta Vigo 1, Malaga 5
H2H summary: Celta Vigo wins 4, draws 2, Malaga wins 6

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 17:2 15 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 10:3 7 10
W W D W
3 4 3 0 1 10:3 7 9
L W W W
4 4 3 0 1 5:5 0 9
W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 8:5 3 8
W W D D
6 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
L W D W
8 4 2 1 1 5:6 -1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
W D W L L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W W L L
11 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 6:5 1 4
D L L W
13 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
L W L D
14 4 1 1 2 7:10 -3 4
W L D L
15 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
D L W L
16 5 0 3 2 2:5 -3 3
D D L L D
17 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
L L D D
18 4 0 2 2 1:7 -6 2
D L D L
19 4 0 1 3 5:12 -7 1
L L L D
20 4 0 1 3 1:9 -8 1
L L L D
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