SPAIN LA LIGA
30.08.2026 19:30
Estadio Abanca Balaídos
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Celta Vigo
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
A. Berenguer · Assist: I. Williams
Athletic Club
22'
R. Navarro · Assist: I. Ruiz de Galarreta
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
J. Rodriguez ↔ J. Rueda
Celta Vigo
🔄
46'
A. Faye ↔ Y. Lago
Celta Vigo
🔄
46'
I. Moriba ↔ M. Roman
Celta Vigo
🔄
46'
H. Gonzalez ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🟨
48'
Yuri Berchiche
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
W. Swedberg ↔ H. Alvarez
Celta Vigo
🟨
61'
Robert Navarro
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
O. Sancet ↔ P. Canales
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↔ M. Jauregizar
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
I. Williams ↔ G. Guruzeta
Athletic Club
🟨
71'
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Athletic Club
🔄
74'
R. Navarro ↔ N. Williams
Athletic Club
🔄
86'
J. Areso ↔ J. Louis-Jean
Athletic Club

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.18
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.7%
2.45
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.18
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.47
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Celta Vigo Win 42.7%
Draw 16.4%
Athletic Club Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo1.45
Athletic Club1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
27 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.45
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
8
2.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 7 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 11 matches
Celta Vigo Statistic Athletic Club
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 5
11 Goals For 27
8 Goals Against 14
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.45
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4
5.5 Total Shots 11.5
3.5 Corners 7.5
54% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celta Vigo won 6 times, Athletic Club won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Celta Vigo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Celta Vigo 3-4-3 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Celta Vigo 2, Athletic Club 5
H2H summary: Celta Vigo wins 6, draws 3, Athletic Club wins 6

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 31:7 24 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
W W W L W
3 7 5 1 1 9:7 2 16
D W W W L
4 7 5 0 2 18:8 10 15
L W W L W
5 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W D L
6 7 3 2 2 11:6 5 11
D L L W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:8 2 10
D L D W W
8 7 3 1 3 9:13 -4 10
W L W D W
9 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
W W L L L
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W L
11 7 2 2 3 4:7 -3 8
W L D D L
12 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W L
13 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
14 7 1 4 2 8:6 2 7
W D D D L
15 7 2 1 4 10:10 0 7
L L W D L
16 7 2 1 4 11:21 -10 7
L L W L W
17 6 1 2 3 8:12 -4 5
L L D W D
18 7 1 2 4 11:17 -6 5
W L D L L
19 7 1 1 5 4:13 -9 4
L W L L L
20 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D D L
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ECL Playoffs
Relegation