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26.09.2026 16:30
Municipal de Balaídos
Referee: G. Etayo
Celta de Vigo II
Match Timeline
Sabadell
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
A. Marin
Celta de Vigo II
🟨
20'
Pere Pons
Sabadell
⚽
23'
E. Gonzalez · Assist: T. Ripoll
Sabadell
🟨
32'
Edgar González
Sabadell
🔄
46'
P. Pons ↔ A. Baena Perez
Sabadell
🟨
54'
Albert Orriols
Sabadell
🟨
54'
José Luis Català
Sabadell
🔄
60'
O. Marcos ↔ A. Arcos
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
60'
J. Catala ↔ J. Lopez-Pinto
Sabadell
🔄
60'
G. Valles ↔ N. Obolskiy
Sabadell
🔄
71'
J. Priego ↔ A. Ribeiro
Sabadell
🔄
72'
P. Gavian ↔ J. Lopez
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
72'
H. Burcio ↔ P. Meixus
Celta de Vigo II
🟨
78'
Anxo Rodríguez
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
81'
A. Marin ↔ J. Perez-Lafuente
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
81'
A. Kibet ↔ A. Davila
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
86'
T. Ripoll ↔ E. Aguilar Elizalde
Sabadell
🟨
89'
Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye
Celta de Vigo II

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Celta de Vigo II Win 31.1%
Draw 7.9%
Sabadell Win 61%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta de Vigo II1.05
Sabadell1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
Sabadell Sabadell
WLDWL
15 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II 8 matches
Sabadell Sabadell 12 matches
Celta de Vigo II Statistic Sabadell
3 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
3 Losses 2
9 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 11
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 4.67
13 Total Shots 15.67
3.83 Corners 4.83
48.8% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sabadell. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celta de Vigo II expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sabadell in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sabadell having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Celta de Vigo II Analysis

With 7 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Celta de Vigo II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 7:8, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Marin (2 goals), Adrià Capdevila (1 goals), O. Marcos (1 goals), with creative support from G. Miller (2 assists), A. Rodriguez (1 assists), K. Ribes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sabadell Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Sabadell have collected 8 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 4:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Gioacchini (3 goals), Urri (1 goals), with creative support from Urri (1 assists), Ton Ripoll (1 assists), Q. Liameed (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Celta de Vigo II won 1 times, Sabadell won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Celta de Vigo II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3 / Sabadell 4-4-2
H2H summary: Celta de Vigo II wins 1, draws 0, Sabadell wins 1

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation