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10.10.2026 19:00
Municipal de Balaídos
Referee: Juan Gordillo, Spain
Celta de Vigo II
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Alexis Olmedo
Celta de Vigo II
⚽
12'
A. Arcos
Celta de Vigo II
🟨
15'
Óscar Marcos
Celta de Vigo II
🟨
21'
Joel López Salguero
Celta de Vigo II
🟨
27'
Jon Balda
Real Sociedad II
🟨
31'
Iñaki Rupérez
Real Sociedad II
⚽
33'
A. Marin
Celta de Vigo II
⚽
36'
A. Marin
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
46'
A. Olmedo ↔ S. M. Ndiaye
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
46'
J. Lopez ↔ G. Milla
Celta de Vigo II
⚽
59'
A. Kibet · Assist: O. Marcos
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
60'
I. Ruperez ↔ J. Garro
Real Sociedad II
🔄
60'
A. Lebarbier ↔ I. Aguirre
Real Sociedad II
🔄
60'
S. Osazuwa ↔ J. Soroeta
Real Sociedad II
🔄
67'
A. Arcos ↔ J. Oliveras
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
73'
O. Marcos ↔ H. F. Cuenca Martinez
Celta de Vigo II
🟨
74'
Tomy Carbonell
Real Sociedad II
🔄
74'
D. Diaz ↔ A. Adjabeng
Real Sociedad II
🔄
78'
A. Capdevila ↔ A. Davila
Celta de Vigo II
🔄
83'
G. Gorosabel ↔ J. Eceizabarrena
Real Sociedad II
⚽
87'
J. Balda · Assist: J. Eceizabarrena
Real Sociedad II

Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds 2.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.4%
2.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.1%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Celta de Vigo II Win 30.6%
Draw 14%
Real Sociedad II Win 55.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta de Vigo II1.34
Real Sociedad II1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
WWDLW
12 GF / 15 GA
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
WLDWL
16 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
4.88
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II 10 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 13 matches
Celta de Vigo II Statistic Real Sociedad II
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 8
12 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 20
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 5
4.88 Shots On Goal 3.5
12 Total Shots 10.75
4 Corners 3.38
49.4% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celta de Vigo II expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Real Sociedad II in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Sociedad II having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Real Sociedad II.

Celta de Vigo II Analysis

Celta de Vigo II sit 18 with 8 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Marin (3 goals), O. Marcos (2 goals), A. Kibet (1 goals), with creative support from G. Miller (2 assists), A. Marin (1 assists), A. Kibet (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Sociedad II Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 16, Real Sociedad II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gorka Gorosabel (3 goals), Gorka Carrera (2 goals), Dani Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from Dani Díaz (3 assists), Gorka Gorosabel (1 assists), Lander Astiazarán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Celta de Vigo II won 1 times, Real Sociedad II won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Celta de Vigo II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3 / Real Sociedad II 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Celta de Vigo II wins 1, draws 1, Real Sociedad II wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation