BRAZIL SERIE D
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Ceilândia
Match Timeline
União Rondonópolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
76'
Cleyton
Ceilândia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 90.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
90.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Ceilândia Win 70%
Draw 14.2%
União Rondonópolis Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceilândia0.6
União Rondonópolis0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceilândia Ceilândia
WWDLW
0 GF / 1 GA
União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis
WLDWL
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
1
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceilândia Ceilândia 2 matches
União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 2 matches
Ceilândia Statistic União Rondonópolis
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
0 Goals For 2
1 Goals Against 3
0 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
0 BTTS Yes 1
0 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward União Rondonópolis. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward União Rondonópolis having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ceilândia Analysis

Ceilândia are currently 6 in the standings with 1 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 0:1 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

União Rondonópolis Analysis

União Rondonópolis arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 1 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 2:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Oliveira Gil (1 goals), Juninho (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ceilândia won 3 times, União Rondonópolis won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Ceilândia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
H2H summary: Ceilândia wins 3, draws 1, União Rondonópolis wins 0
Last matches: Ceilândia
28.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
3
2
W
16.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goianésia
2
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiânia
2
2
D
13.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
2
1
W
Last matches: União Rondonópolis
07.06.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
1
5
L
26.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H: Ceilândia vs União Rondonópolis
23.05.26
H2H
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
2
3
W
18.04.26
H2H
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
16.07.23
H2H
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
0
0
D
Last matches: Ceilândia
20.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goianésia
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Porto Velho
3
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
2
3
L
03.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiânia
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ceilândia
18.04.26
H2H
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
16.07.23
H2H
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
W
Last matches: União Rondonópolis
07.06.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
1
5
L
11.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
H2H away: União Rondonópolis
18.04.26
H2H
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
L
16.07.23
H2H
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
L

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)