CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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ATCO Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 68%
Draw 4%
Vancouver FC Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.77
Vancouver FC0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
36 GF / 11 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
9
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
10
2.11
Shots on Goal
1.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 18 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 21 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic Vancouver FC
12 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 10
36 Goals For 26
11 Goals Against 30
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
9 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 9
2.11 Shots On Goal 1.62
6.61 Total Shots 5.38
2.39 Corners 2
21.6% Ball Possession 18.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 37 points compared to Vancouver FC in 4 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vancouver FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 37 points from 17 games, Cavalry FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 33:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Elva (1 goals), G. Ntignee (1 goals), S. Camargo (1 goals), with creative support from C. Elva (1 assists), G. Ntignee (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 27 points after 18 outings. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 7 times, Vancouver FC won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-4-2 / Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 7, draws 7, Vancouver FC wins 1
Last matches: Cavalry FC
22.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
15.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
W
09.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
02.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
29.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
25.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Vancouver FC
22.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
19.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
4
L
15.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
1
1
D
07.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
0
W
01.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
25.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
17.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
5
1
W
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
H2H: Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
25.07.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
L
18.05.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
2
2
D
17.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
5
4
W
14.07.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
09.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
22.05.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
27.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
16.06.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
3
1
W
24.04.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
1
5
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
22.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
15.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
W
02.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
29.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Cavalry FC
17.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
5
4
W
09.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
3
1
W
24.04.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Vancouver FC
22.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
19.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
4
L
07.08.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
1
0
W
17.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
5
1
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
H2H away: Vancouver FC
17.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
5
4
L
09.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
3
1
L
24.04.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
1
L