Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Catanzaro
Monza
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Catanzaro
42 matches
Monza
41 matches
| Catanzaro | Statistic | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 23 |
| 14 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 68 | Goals For | 65 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.55 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 12.83 | Total Shots | 14.27 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Monza controlled more possession in the first leg (53% against 47%). Catanzaro were also more accurate in attack, recording 3 shots on target to 2. Monza circulated the ball more often, making 359 passes to 333 and completing 300. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Monza. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Catanzaro enter this tie with a season profile built on 59 points from 38 matches, placing them 5 in their league. Their record of 15 wins, 14 draws, and 9 defeats with goals at 62:51 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on P. Iemmello (13 goals), Filippo Pittarello (12 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (10 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Monza enter this tie with a season profile built on 76 points from 38 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 22 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats with goals at 61:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on A. Petagna (9 goals), P. Cutrone (6 goals), D. Mota (5 goals), with creative support from P. Azzi (6 assists), A. Izzo (4 assists), A. Petagna (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro won 1 times, Monza won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Catanzaro's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Catanzaro
1
5
7
3
3
1
Lineups
Catanzaro
Giugliano
Catanzaro
Paradiso
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Mantova
Monza
Padova
Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
Monza
Galatasaray
Monza
PRO Vercelli
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Mantova
Monza
Modena
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Bari
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Giugliano
Catanzaro
Paradiso
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Venezia
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Padova
Monza
Galatasaray
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Mantova
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Sudtirol
Monza
Padova
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Modena
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Pescara
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Frosinone
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Avellino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Monza
Away
|
38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Catanzaro
Home
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|