Castellón vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.6%
|
- |
Castellón
Burgos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Castellón
36 matches
Burgos
39 matches
| Castellón | Statistic | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 20 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 58 | Goals For | 48 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 2.95 |
| 14.28 | Total Shots | 9.36 |
| 5.89 | Corners | 3.59 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 44.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Burgos look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Burgos. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
So far, Castellón have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 58 points from 35 matches. The record of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 58:43 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through O. Camara (10 goals), Álex Calatrava (9 goals), Fabrizio Brignani (6 goals), with creative support from Álex Calatrava (7 assists), B. Cipenga (7 assists), I. Suero (6 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Burgos come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 60 points after 35 matches. The return of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 42:29, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (9 goals), F. Nino (7 goals), Curro (4 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (5 assists), Curro (4 assists), Iván Morante (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Castellón won 3 times, Burgos won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Castellón's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 29 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 21 | 77 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 18 | 74 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 23 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 17 | 73 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Castellón
Home
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 19 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 |
Burgos
Away
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 15 | 72 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 12 | 67 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 6 | 61 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | -4 | 61 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | -12 | 61 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 1 | 59 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 8 | 58 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | -6 | 48 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | -8 | 46 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | -20 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | -22 | 40 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | -22 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | -29 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
L
|