BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Cascavel
Match Timeline
Guarany de Bagé
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
51'
Robinho
Cascavel
90'
Kauhe Galdino
Cascavel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Cascavel Win 73.2%
Draw 0%
Guarany de Bagé Win 26.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cascavel0.9
Guarany de Bagé0.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cascavel Cascavel
WWDLW
1 GF / 0 GA
Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé
WLDWL
1 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cascavel Cascavel 2 matches
Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé 2 matches
Cascavel Statistic Guarany de Bagé
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
1 Goals For 1
0 Goals Against 3
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
0 BTTS Yes 1
0 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cascavel's more proactive style and Guarany de Bagé's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarany de Bagé having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cascavel arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 4 points compared to Guarany de Bagé in 5 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guarany de Bagé.

Cascavel Analysis

Placed 2 with 4 points from 2 outings, Cascavel continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 1:0 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. S. do Espirito Santo (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Guarany de Bagé Analysis

Guarany de Bagé arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 1 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 1:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Pedro Rodrigues (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cascavel won 2 times, Guarany de Bagé won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from Cascavel's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Cascavel wins 2, draws 0, Guarany de Bagé wins 0
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
07.06.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
1
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
2
1
W
20.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
21.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
3
L
15.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
11.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
H2H: Cascavel vs Guarany de Bagé
24.05.26
H2H
Guarany de Bagé
Cascavel
0
4
W
19.04.26
H2H
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Itabirito
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
3
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
1
4
L
H2H at home: Cascavel
19.04.26
H2H
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
Last matches: Guarany de Bagé
30.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Santa Catarina
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Cianorte
1
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Sao Jose
1
0
W
21.06.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Barra
0
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Azuriz
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
0
1
L
19.04.25
Ser
Guarany de Bagé
Joinville
0
1
L
H2H away: Guarany de Bagé
19.04.26
H2H
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)