SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Casa Sport Win 23.8%
Draw 9.8%
Pikine Win 66.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Sport0.81
Pikine0.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Sport Casa Sport
WWDLW
27 GF / 18 GA
Pikine Pikine
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.52
12
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Sport Casa Sport 27 matches
Pikine Pikine 27 matches
Casa Sport Statistic Pikine
6 Wins 7
18 Draws 13
3 Losses 7
27 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 14
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.52
12 BTTS Yes 4
16 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
13 Clean Sheets 17
10 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pikine. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Pikine having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Casa Sport Analysis

Casa Sport are currently 7 in the standings with 33 points from 26 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 18 draws, and 3 losses, while the 24:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Pikine Analysis

Pikine sit 8 with 33 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, while the 18:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Casa Sport won 4 times, Pikine won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Casa Sport's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
H2H summary: Casa Sport wins 4, draws 9, Pikine wins 2
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
0
0
D
13.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
12.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
Last matches: Pikine
04.06.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
1
2
L
13.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Pikine
Génération Foot
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Pikine
La Linguère
4
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Pikine
Gorée
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Teungueth
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Wally Daan
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Pikine
AJEL
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Ouakam
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
0
1
L
01.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
2
0
W
H2H: Casa Sport vs Pikine
17.05.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
01.02.26
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
25.05.25
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
2
0
L
05.01.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
0
0
D
27.12.23
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
3
1
L
07.05.23
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
27.11.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
3
1
W
02.01.22
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
06.06.21
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
0
0
D
07.02.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
0
0
D
02.02.20
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
10.03.19
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
2
1
W
16.11.18
H2H
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
14.12.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
0
W
16.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
1
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
4
0
W
H2H at home: Casa Sport
17.05.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
05.01.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
0
0
D
27.11.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
3
1
W
07.02.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
0
0
D
10.03.19
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
2
1
W
Last matches: Pikine
04.06.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Pikine
La Linguère
4
0
W
29.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Wally Daan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Ouakam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
1
1
D
29.12.25
Lig
Pikine
Génération Foot
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
Pikine
Gorée
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Pikine
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lig
Pikine
AJEL
0
1
L
H2H away: Pikine
17.05.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
L
05.01.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
0
0
D
27.11.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
3
1
L
07.02.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
0
0
D
10.03.19
H2H
Casa Sport
Pikine
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation