Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- |
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Casa Pia
29 matches
SC Braga
47 matches
| Casa Pia | Statistic | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 27 |
| 11 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 28 | Goals For | 91 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 22 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.83 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 8.72 | Total Shots | 10.68 |
| 3.79 | Corners | 4.74 |
| 41.7% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by SC Braga's more proactive style and Casa Pia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SC Braga. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. SC Braga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 53 points while Casa Pia sit 16 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Casa Pia expected to line up in 3-4-3 and SC Braga in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Braga having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Casa Pia sit 16 with 26 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 28:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Cassiano (5 goals), Gaizka Larrazabal (3 goals), J. Livolant (3 goals), with creative support from J. Livolant (8 assists), Gaizka Larrazabal (4 assists), A. Conte (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 53 points from 29 outings, SC Braga continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 55:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Zalazar (15 goals), R. Horta (14 goals), P. Victor (7 goals), with creative support from R. Zalazar (4 assists), R. Horta (4 assists), P. Victor (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 3 times, SC Braga won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Casa Pia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
Casa Pia
1
2
4
4
2
2
Lineups
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Tondela
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Alverca
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Arouca
Casa Pia
Nacional
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Casa Pia
AVS
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
SC Braga
Estrela
SC Braga
Benfica
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
Estoril
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Famalicao
SC Braga
Real Betis
SC Braga
Arouca
SC Braga
Real Betis
SC Braga
Moreirense
SC Braga
FC Porto
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
SC Braga
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Nacional
SC Braga
Guimaraes
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Rio Ave
SC Braga
AVS
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Tondela
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Arouca
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Casa Pia
AVS
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
Alverca
Casa Pia
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Nacional
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Benfica
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Real Betis
SC Braga
Moreirense
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
SC Braga
Nacional
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
AVS
SC Braga
GO Ahead Eagles
SC Braga
Tondela
SC Braga
Estrela
SC Braga
Estoril
SC Braga
Nice
SC Braga
Famalicao
SC Braga
Arouca
SC Braga
Rangers
SC Braga
FC Porto
SC Braga
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Celtic
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
SC Braga
Away
|
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Casa Pia
Home
|
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|