PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
G. Prestianni
Benfica
14'
Rafa Silva · Assist: V. Pavlidis
Benfica
47'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
49'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
54'
V. Pavlidis · Assist: L. Barreiro
Benfica
58'
L. Ofori
Benfica
🔄
59'
K. Prieto ↔ K. Osundina
Casa Pia
🔄
59'
Gabi ↔ A. Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
59'
T. Araujo ↔ Manu
Benfica
🔄
59'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
60'
Rafa Silva ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
61'
J. Duran · Assist: A. Bah
Benfica
🟨
62'
S. Perez
Casa Pia
🔄
63'
S. Perez ↔ S. Clua
Casa Pia
🔄
67'
E. Barrenechea ↔ R. Rios
Benfica
🔄
76'
H. Araujo ↔ P. Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
76'
Rochinha ↔ Kaly
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
G. Sudakov ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🟨
79'
Kaly
Casa Pia
🟨
90+2'
Kaly
Casa Pia
🟥
90+2'
Kaly
Casa Pia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.21
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.8%
1.21
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.3%
2.04
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
3.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 33.2%
Draw 6.1%
Benfica Win 60.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.05
Benfica2.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 9 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.88
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
2
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 4 matches
Benfica Benfica 8 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Benfica
1 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
4 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
2 BTTS Yes 6
2 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4.4
9 Total Shots 5.6
6 Corners 3.2
61% Ball Possession 25.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, Benfica won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:20 from Casa Pia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-3-3 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 3, Benfica wins 5
Stats
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Benfica Benfica
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
8
1 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 4
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 8
3 Shots insidebox 14
0 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
342 Total passes 621
272 Passes accurate 556
0.12 expected_goals 3.04
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Casa Pia
Formation
Benfica
A. Gomes
A. Gomes
A. Geraldes
A. Geraldes
J. Goulart
J. Goulart
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
A. Conte
A. Conte
S. Perez
S. Perez
L. Ofori
L. Ofori
Gabi
Gabi
K. Prieto
K. Prieto
H. Araujo
H. Araujo
Rochinha
Rochinha
S. Soares
S. Soares
A. Bah
🎯
A. Bah
T. Araujo
T. Araujo
C. Lenglet
C. Lenglet
S. Dahl
S. Dahl
L. Barreiro
🎯
L. Barreiro
E. Barrenechea
E. Barrenechea
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
G. Sudakov
G. Sudakov
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
V. Pavlidis
⚽ 3 🎯
V. Pavlidis
Casa Pia 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
A. Gomes
G
18
A. Geraldes
D
4
J. Goulart
D
43
D. Sousa
D
5
A. Conte
D
24
S. Perez
↓ 63' 🟨 62'
M
80
L. Ofori
⚽ 58'
M
8
Gabi
↓ 59'
M
19
K. Prieto
↓ 59'
F
9
H. Araujo
↓ 76'
F
10
Rochinha
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
22
D. Azevedo
G
95
I. Mandic
G
27
Kaique Rocha
D
75
P. Rosas
↑ 76'
D
3
Kaly
↑ 76' 🟨 79' 🟨 90+2' 🟥 90+2'
D
11
R. Blanco
M
16
S. Clua
↑ 63'
M
59
A. Dafe
M
13
K. Osundina
↑ 59'
F
90
Cassiano
F
20
A. Jatta
↑ 59'
F
99
C. Mendes
F
Benfica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
S. Soares
G
6
A. Bah
🎯 61'
D
44
T. Araujo
↓ 59'
D
2
C. Lenglet
D
26
S. Dahl
D
18
L. Barreiro
🎯 54'
M
5
E. Barrenechea
↓ 67'
M
27
Rafa Silva
⚽ 14' ↓ 60'
M
10
G. Sudakov
↓ 78'
M
25
G. Prestianni
⚽ 3'
M
14
V. Pavlidis
⚽ 47' ⚽ 49' ⚽ 54' 🎯 14' ↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Trubin
G
58
D. Banjaqui
D
62
J. Neto
D
13
J. Kaminski
M
16
Manu
↑ 59'
M
33
Gabriel Indio
20
R. Rios
↑ 67'
M
73
M. Figueiredo
M
22
J. Duran
⚽ 61' ↑ 59'
F
72
Anisio
F
11
D. Lukebakio
↑ 78'
F
21
A. Schjelderup
↑ 60'
F
Last matches: Casa Pia
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Benfica
20.08.26
UEF
Benfica
Aarhus
3
1
W
13.08.26
UEF
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Benfica
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
6
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
5
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Benfica
CF Os Belenenses
5
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Villarreal
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Flamengo
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Vitória SC
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
H2H: Casa Pia vs Benfica
17.08.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
7
L
06.04.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
Benfica
Casa Pia
2
2
D
25.01.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
3
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Benfica
Casa Pia
3
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
Benfica
Casa Pia
3
0
L
13.08.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
17.08.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
7
L
06.04.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
3
1
W
17.03.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
L
Last matches: Benfica
13.08.26
UEF
Benfica
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Juventus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
2
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
0
W
29.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Benfica
Ajax
2
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Vitória SC
3
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Benfica
Newcastle
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
0
0
D
H2H away: Benfica
17.08.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
7
W
06.04.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
3
1
L
17.03.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Benfica
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.21
Draw 6.42
Home 12.34
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.60
Draw 2.86
Home 10.59
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 2.75 1.73
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.23
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.45
Under 1.5 4.47
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 2.75 2.05
Under 3.0 1.84
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.51
Under 4.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.22
Draw 5.75
Home 13.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.62
Draw 2.75
Home 10.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 3.10
Home 8.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.22
Draw 6.91
Home 15.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.61
Draw 2.62
Home 9.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.43
Draw 3.34
Home 9.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.19
Over 2.0 1.23
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.80
Over 3.0 1.90
Over 3.25 2.13
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 3.75 2.74
Over 4.0 3.50
Over 4.25 3.82
Over 4.5 4.15
Over 4.75 5.15
Over 5.0 7.10
Over 5.5 7.70
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 16.00
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.25 6.07
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 1.75 4.02
Under 2.0 3.60
Under 2.25 2.88
Under 2.5 2.36
Under 2.75 2.10
Under 3.0 1.77
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 3.75 1.35
Under 4.0 1.22
Under 4.25 1.19
Under 4.5 1.16
Under 4.75 1.10
Under 5.0 1.04
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.25
Draw 5.60
Home 11.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.60
Draw 2.63
Home 8.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.52
Draw 3.20
Home 8.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 3.75 2.95
Over 4.0 3.75
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.35
Over 4.75 5.30
Over 5.0 7.00
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.35
Under 2.25 2.50
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.68
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.18
Under 4.5 1.16
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.06