PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
17.08.2026 19:15
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
G. Prestianni
Benfica
14'
Rafa Silva · Assist: V. Pavlidis
Benfica
47'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
49'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
54'
V. Pavlidis · Assist: L. Barreiro
Benfica
58'
L. Ofori
Benfica
🔄
59'
K. Prieto ↔ K. Osundina
Casa Pia
🔄
59'
Gabi ↔ A. Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
59'
T. Araujo ↔ Manu Silva
Benfica
🔄
59'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
60'
Rafa Silva ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
61'
J. Duran · Assist: A. Bah
Benfica
🟨
62'
Sebastián Pérez
Casa Pia
🔄
63'
S. Perez ↔ S. Clua
Casa Pia
🔄
67'
E. Barrenechea ↔ R. Rios
Benfica
🔄
76'
H. Araujo ↔ P. Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
76'
Rochinha ↔ Kaly
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
G. Sudakov ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🟨
79'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🟨
90+2'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🟥
90+2'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 33.2%
Draw 6.1%
Benfica Win 60.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.05
Benfica2.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 9 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.88
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
2
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 4 matches
Benfica Benfica 8 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Benfica
1 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
4 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
2 BTTS Yes 6
2 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4.4
9 Total Shots 5.6
6 Corners 3.2
61% Ball Possession 25.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, Benfica won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:20 from Casa Pia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 3, Benfica wins 5

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 6 2 4 0 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
7 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
W L W W D
8 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 6 2 1 3 7:11 -4 7
L L L D W
11 6 2 1 3 7:13 -6 7
W L L W L
12 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
13 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
14 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
15 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
16 6 1 1 4 5:14 -9 4
D L L W L
17 6 0 2 4 2:8 -6 2
L D L L L
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2