Carlisle
Match Timeline
Gateshead
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gateshead Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.95
Gateshead1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle
WWDLW
89 GF / 59 GA
Gateshead
WLDWL
55 GF / 89 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.98
26
BTTS Yes
23
29
Over 2.5
30
3
Shots on Goal
1
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Carlisle
46 matches
Gateshead
45 matches
| Carlisle | Statistic | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 14 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 24 |
| 89 | Goals For | 55 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 89 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.98 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 1 |
| 6 | Total Shots | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 21% | Ball Possession | 37.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 1 times, Gateshead won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Carlisle's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 1, draws 2, Gateshead wins 1
Lineups
Carlisle
Formation
Gateshead
G. Breeze
J. Ellis
M. Feeney
T. Thomas
C. Harper
H. Macadam
A. Gilliead
D. Ajiboye
S. Wearne
R. Linney
H. Parker
A. Desbois
K. Richardson
D. Ferguson
B. Nicholson
S. Bowen
J. Fenton
K. Ward
J. Home
J. Butterfield
H. Chapman
A. Boatswain
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
18
J. Ellis
↓ 69'
5
M. Feeney
4
T. Thomas
3
C. Harper
37
H. Macadam
20
A. Gilliead
🟨 72'
7
D. Ajiboye
↓ 69'
16
S. Wearne
10
R. Linney
30
H. Parker
↓ 69'
Substitutes
13
A. Mair
2
A. Davies
↑ 69'
🟨 89'
8
C. Whelan
12
R. Galvin
23
C. Wyke
↑ 69'
25
E. Yeboah
↑ 69'
26
B. Mugabi
Gateshead
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
47
A. Desbois
5
K. Richardson
↓ 30'
3
D. Ferguson
🟨 52'
6
B. Nicholson
8
S. Bowen
↓ 71'
20
J. Fenton
7
K. Ward
🟨 88'
17
J. Home
↓ 46'
10
J. Butterfield
↓ 46'
32
H. Chapman
↓ 80'
29
A. Boatswain
Substitutes
11
T. Newton
19
M. Beck
↑ 80'
21
B. Chadwick
22
J. Anifowose
↑ 46'
25
E. Moore
↑ 46'
28
L. Storey
↑ 30'
48
R. Patterson-Powell
↑ 71'
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
Last matches: Gateshead
08.08.26
Nat
Gateshead
Eastleigh
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Gateshead
Spennymoor Town
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
South Shields
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Newcastle
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Hebburn Town
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Heaton Stannington
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Blyth Town
6
0
W
25.04.26
Nat
Gateshead
Altrincham
1
3
L
18.04.26
Nat
Gateshead
Woking
0
3
L
11.04.26
Nat
Gateshead
Aldershot Town
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Gateshead
Scunthorpe
2
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
York
3
1
W
21.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
17.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Wealdstone
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
10.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Southend
1
1
D
07.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Solihull Moors
2
1
W
04.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Braintree
1
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Gateshead
Forest Green
0
2
L
H2H: Carlisle vs Gateshead
03.04.26
H2H
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
26.12.25
H2H
Gateshead
Carlisle
0
3
W
30.07.24
H2H
Gateshead
Carlisle
2
0
L
18.08.20
H2H
Gateshead
Carlisle
1
1
D
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Altrincham
3
1
W
21.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
03.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Wealdstone
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
1
0
W
10.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Woking
1
3
L
29.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
2
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
4
2
W
11.10.25
FA
Carlisle
Boston United
5
2
W
01.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
1
W
H2H at home: Carlisle
03.04.26
H2H
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
Last matches: Gateshead
08.08.26
Nat
Gateshead
Eastleigh
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Gateshead
Spennymoor Town
1
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Hebburn Town
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Heaton Stannington
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Gateshead
Blyth Town
6
0
W
25.04.26
Nat
Gateshead
Altrincham
1
3
L
11.04.26
Nat
Gateshead
Aldershot Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
10.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Southend
1
1
D
07.03.26
Nat
Gateshead
Solihull Moors
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Gateshead
Truro City
2
1
W
17.02.26
Nat
Gateshead
FC Halifax Town
2
1
W
10.02.26
Nat
Gateshead
Boston United
0
1
L
20.01.26
Nat
Gateshead
Hartlepool
1
2
L
03.01.26
Nat
Gateshead
Tamworth
1
3
L
30.12.25
Nat
Gateshead
Scunthorpe
0
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Gateshead
Sutton Utd
2
4
L
15.11.25
Nat
Gateshead
Forest Green
1
3
L
05.11.25
Nat
Gateshead
York
0
4
L
01.11.25
FA
Gateshead
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
W
H2H away: Gateshead
03.04.26
H2H
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
Standings
Conference: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Home
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 |
Gateshead
Away
|
46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation