Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
55.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
50.4%
|
- |
Cardiff
Port Vale
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cardiff
44 matches
Port Vale
48 matches
| Cardiff | Statistic | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 14 |
| 10 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 22 |
| 80 | Goals For | 42 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 23 |
| 5.16 | Shots On Goal | 3.08 |
| 15.14 | Total Shots | 10.96 |
| 6.14 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 61.2% | Ball Possession | 44.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cardiff's more proactive style and Port Vale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cardiff arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 85 points compared to Port Vale in 23 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Port Vale. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Placed 2 with 85 points from 43 outings, Cardiff continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 25 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 76:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Salech (13 goals), O. Kellyman (9 goals), C. Willock (8 goals), with creative support from Ollie Tanner (11 assists), R. Wintle (7 assists), R. Kpakio (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 15 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Port Vale approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 39 points from 42 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 21 defeats with a 30:54 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Tolaj (17 goals), D. Cole (6 goals), R. Croasdale (4 goals), with creative support from R. Curtis (6 assists), L. Tolaj (4 assists), R. Paton (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 2 times, Port Vale won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Cardiff's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Cardiff
4
2
7
2
3
2
Lineups
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
Northampton
Cardiff
Reading
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Cardiff
Bolton
Cardiff
Peterborough
Cardiff
Blackpool
Cardiff
Wycombe
Cardiff
Exeter City
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Lincoln
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff
Plymouth
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff
Luton
Cardiff
Rotherham
Cardiff
Burton Albion
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Stockport County
Cardiff
Bradford
Port Vale
Lincoln
Port Vale
Stockport County
Port Vale
Plymouth
Port Vale
Wigan
Port Vale
Peterborough
Port Vale
Barnsley
Port Vale
Rotherham
Port Vale
Chelsea
Port Vale
Wycombe
Port Vale
Doncaster
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale
Blackpool
Port Vale
Huddersfield
Port Vale
Bradford
Port Vale
Sunderland
Port Vale
Bristol City
Port Vale
Luton
Port Vale
Northampton
Port Vale
Reading
Port Vale
Stevenage
Cardiff
Northampton
Cardiff
Bolton
Cardiff
Blackpool
Cardiff
Wycombe
Cardiff
Lincoln
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
Cardiff
Luton
Cardiff
Barnsley
Cardiff
Stockport County
Cardiff
Wigan
Cardiff
Stevenage
Cardiff
Exeter City
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff
Huddersfield
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
Cardiff
Reading
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
Cardiff
Burton Albion
Cardiff
Bradford
Cardiff
Plymouth
Port Vale
Stockport County
Port Vale
Plymouth
Port Vale
Peterborough
Port Vale
Chelsea
Port Vale
Wycombe
Port Vale
Doncaster
Port Vale
Blackpool
Port Vale
Northampton
Port Vale
Stevenage
Port Vale
Leyton Orient
Port Vale
Mansfield Town
Port Vale
Bradford
Port Vale
Huddersfield
Port Vale
Luton
Port Vale
Lincoln
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale
Wigan
Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon
Port Vale
Barnsley
Port Vale
Exeter City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cardiff
Home
|
46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Port Vale
Away
|
46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|