Cardiff
Match Timeline
Northampton
Cardiff vs Northampton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
70.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 82.2%
Draw 4.2%
Northampton Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff1.7
Northampton0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff
WWDLW
81 GF / 45 GA
Northampton
WLDWL
37 GF / 68 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
23
BTTS Yes
21
23
Over 2.5
21
5.13
Shots on Goal
2.73
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cardiff
45 matches
Northampton
44 matches
| Cardiff | Statistic | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 27 |
| 81 | Goals For | 37 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 2.73 |
| 15.11 | Total Shots | 8.91 |
| 6.13 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 61.3% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 2 times, Northampton won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Cardiff's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Northampton 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 2, draws 0, Northampton wins 2
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cardiff
Home
|
46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 |
Northampton
Away
|
46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two