VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
21.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: C. Parra
Caracas FC
Match Timeline
Carabobo FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
J. De Santis
Caracas FC
🟨
19'
A. Villarreal
Caracas FC
24'
Robert Hernandez
Caracas FC
35'
D. Machis · Assist: J. Berios
Carabobo FC
🟨
45'
L. Aponte
Carabobo FC
🔄
46'
D. Machis ↔ L. Martinez
Carabobo FC
🔄
51'
M. Covea ↔ M. Vegas
Caracas FC
🔄
51'
J. De Santis ↔ W. Correa
Caracas FC
🔄
60'
E. Arzu ↔ D. Meza
Carabobo FC
🔄
63'
C. Larotonda ↔ S. Gonzalez
Caracas FC
🔄
67'
J. Duran ↔ A. Gonzalez
Carabobo FC
🔄
67'
E. Castillo ↔ M. Cova
Carabobo FC
🔄
75'
I. Gudino ↔ J. Quintero
Caracas FC
🔄
75'
Robert Hernandez ↔ L. Reinoso
Caracas FC
🟨
90+3'
L. Reinoso
Caracas FC
🟨
90+5'
M. Vegas
Caracas FC

Caracas FC vs Carabobo FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caracas FC Win 36.4%
Draw 20.2%
Carabobo FC Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caracas FC1.06
Carabobo FC1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 24 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WLDWL
43 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
12
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caracas FC Caracas FC 17 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 28 matches
Caracas FC Statistic Carabobo FC
4 Wins 13
7 Draws 9
6 Losses 6
20 Goals For 43
24 Goals Against 25
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
12 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 13.75
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Carabobo FC's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carabobo FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Caracas FC Analysis

Caracas FC are currently 10 in the standings with 15 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carabobo FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Carabobo FC have collected 19 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 23:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Caracas FC won 1 times, Carabobo FC won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Caracas FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 0.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Caracas FC 4-2-3-1 / Carabobo FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Caracas FC wins 1, draws 8, Carabobo FC wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2