BRAZIL › SERIE D
09.05.2026 19:00
Capital Brasilia
Match Timeline
Mixto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
Rodriguinho
Capital Brasilia

Capital Brasilia vs Mixto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Capital Brasilia Win 68.3%
Draw 0%
Mixto Win 31.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Capital Brasilia0.92
Mixto0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia
WWDLW
5 GF / 3 GA
Mixto Mixto
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 5 matches
Mixto Mixto 5 matches
Capital Brasilia Statistic Mixto
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
5 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Capital Brasilia's more proactive style and Mixto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mixto. Capital Brasilia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 10 points compared to Mixto in 4 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mixto having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Capital Brasilia Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 10 points from 5 games, Capital Brasilia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 5:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Cesinha (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Mixto Analysis

Placed 4 with 6 points from 5 outings, Mixto continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 4:4 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Justino (2 goals), Di Maria (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Capital Brasilia won 1 times, Mixto won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Capital Brasilia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Capital Brasilia wins 1, draws 2, Mixto wins 1

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4
Mixto Away
10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)